XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation Energy - Oil & Gas Investor Relations →
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) closed at $159.67 as of 2026-03-20, trading 53.2% above its 200-week moving average of $104.25. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 50.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 92, XOM is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 3302 weeks of data, XOM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 36 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought XOM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.5%.
With a market cap of $665.3 billion, XOM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.8%. Return on equity stands at 11.1%. The stock trades at 2.6x book value.
XOM is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 258.00%. Share count has increased 2.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in XOM would have grown to $3052, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.8% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming XOM as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -26.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: XOM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After XOM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying XOM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.3% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +13.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.2% vs +30.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment XOM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
XOM has crossed below its 200-week MA 36 times with an average 1-year return of +11.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1966 | Jul 1966 | 3 | 3.6% | -5.8% | +109050.6% |
| Jul 1966 | Mar 1968 | 88 | 14.5% | -3.5% | +108854.3% |
| May 1968 | Jun 1968 | 2 | 0.7% | +29.7% | +104560.6% |
| Jun 1968 | Jun 1968 | 1 | 0.3% | +22.8% | +104365.6% |
| Nov 1969 | Aug 1970 | 41 | 19.3% | +10.6% | +100945.2% |
| May 1974 | Jun 1974 | 3 | 1.0% | +24.0% | +71770.6% |
| Jun 1974 | Jul 1974 | 5 | 4.8% | +40.4% | +73675.2% |
| Aug 1974 | Jan 1975 | 24 | 23.9% | +32.1% | +72100.7% |
| Mar 1975 | Apr 1975 | 1 | 0.9% | +42.5% | +69679.1% |
| Aug 1982 | Aug 1982 | 1 | 1.9% | +60.6% | +27746.1% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 3.6% | -6.0% | +880.7% |
| Nov 2001 | Dec 2001 | 3 | 2.1% | -4.6% | +834.1% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2003 | 59 | 15.7% | +0.1% | +845.2% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 2 | 1.7% | +34.2% | +802.5% |
| Oct 2003 | Dec 2003 | 6 | 4.9% | +38.0% | +812.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 10.6% | +13.6% | +384.2% |
| Feb 2009 | Jun 2009 | 15 | 10.3% | -5.2% | +319.3% |
| Jun 2009 | Oct 2009 | 17 | 9.9% | -8.9% | +317.9% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 3 | 1.9% | -4.8% | +311.8% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2010 | 52 | 22.7% | +1.8% | +302.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 2.2% | +29.8% | +302.2% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 3 | 2.6% | +29.8% | +295.3% |
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 4 | 1.5% | +1.5% | +204.9% |
| Jun 2015 | Mar 2016 | 41 | 15.0% | +8.6% | +200.9% |
| Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 2 | 1.3% | +2.4% | +197.5% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | -0.6% | +190.9% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 0.6% | +3.3% | +190.4% |
| Jan 2017 | Oct 2017 | 36 | 6.4% | +5.0% | +188.0% |
| Nov 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 0.7% | +2.5% | +188.8% |
| Feb 2018 | May 2018 | 13 | 8.5% | +1.7% | +205.8% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 1.5% | -3.7% | +194.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 9 | 11.0% | -4.0% | +194.4% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 4 | 5.9% | -36.2% | +193.7% |
| Jul 2019 | Mar 2021 | 85 | 54.5% | -38.5% | +190.2% |
| Mar 2021 | May 2021 | 7 | 6.0% | +47.0% | +242.3% |
| Jul 2021 | Sep 2021 | 10 | 7.4% | +55.0% | +232.5% |
| Average | 15 | — | +11.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XOM below its 200-week moving average?
No. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is currently 53.2% above its 200-week moving average of $104.25. It would need to fall to $104.25 to cross below the line.
What is XOM's 200-week moving average price?
Exxon Mobil Corporation's 200-week moving average is $104.25 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when XOM drops below its 200-week moving average?
XOM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 36 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +11.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is XOM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about XOM as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 92 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 1.8%. Return on equity is 11.1%. Price-to-book is 2.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does XOM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in XOM would have grown to $3052, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 10.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. XOM has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does XOM pay a dividend?
Yes. Exxon Mobil Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 258.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20