WMT
Walmart Inc. Consumer Staples - Retail Investor Relations →
Walmart Inc. (WMT) closed at $119.02 as of 2026-03-20, trading 68.7% above its 200-week moving average of $70.57. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 79.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.29 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2747 weeks of data, WMT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WMT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.9%.
With a market cap of $948.9 billion, WMT is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.1%. Return on equity stands at 21.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 9.5x book value.
WMT is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 83.00%.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WMT would have grown to $3601, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.4% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming WMT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 7.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WMT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WMT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying WMT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.0% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +13.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +40.5% vs +34.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WMT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
WMT has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +14.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1973 | May 1975 | 94 | 58.4% | -11.6% | +1542937.9% |
| May 1994 | Jul 1994 | 9 | 5.0% | +6.0% | +4756.6% |
| Aug 1994 | Jun 1995 | 45 | 17.8% | +5.4% | +4649.0% |
| Jul 1995 | Jul 1995 | 1 | 0.5% | -7.4% | +4341.7% |
| Jul 1995 | May 1996 | 43 | 23.1% | -3.6% | +4406.8% |
| Jun 1996 | Aug 1996 | 7 | 5.8% | +29.9% | +4413.8% |
| Nov 1996 | Nov 1996 | 1 | 1.9% | +62.6% | +4565.9% |
| Dec 1996 | Feb 1997 | 11 | 8.3% | +68.7% | +4688.1% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 4 | 9.2% | +23.3% | +1090.4% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2002 | 1 | 0.4% | +11.4% | +978.8% |
| Dec 2002 | Mar 2003 | 14 | 10.5% | +4.5% | +993.8% |
| May 2003 | Jun 2003 | 2 | 1.5% | +6.7% | +959.7% |
| Dec 2003 | Jan 2004 | 5 | 1.2% | +1.3% | +946.2% |
| Jun 2004 | Aug 2004 | 7 | 3.3% | -8.8% | +939.4% |
| Sep 2004 | Oct 2004 | 6 | 2.5% | -15.4% | +937.5% |
| Nov 2004 | Jan 2005 | 5 | 2.6% | -8.3% | +928.7% |
| Jan 2005 | May 2007 | 123 | 18.1% | -14.1% | +924.7% |
| Jun 2007 | Nov 2007 | 23 | 11.9% | +19.8% | +995.0% |
| Dec 2007 | Dec 2007 | 1 | 0.2% | +16.7% | +994.1% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 3.5% | +27.2% | +1034.7% |
| Jan 2009 | Feb 2009 | 3 | 2.4% | +15.9% | +982.1% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 1 | 0.1% | +6.2% | +960.1% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 2 | 1.8% | +10.1% | +911.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 1.3% | +52.1% | +867.3% |
| Aug 2015 | May 2016 | 40 | 20.0% | +12.7% | +550.6% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 7 | 2.5% | +18.2% | +511.6% |
| Dec 2016 | Feb 2017 | 11 | 6.1% | +41.6% | +499.5% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 1.4% | +27.8% | +213.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 2.8% | +33.6% | +216.3% |
| Average | 16 | — | +14.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Walmart Inc. (WMT) is currently 68.7% above its 200-week moving average of $70.57. It would need to fall to $70.57 to cross below the line.
What is WMT's 200-week moving average price?
Walmart Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $70.57 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WMT drops below its 200-week moving average?
WMT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is WMT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WMT as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 1.1%. Return on equity is 21.8%. Price-to-book is 9.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WMT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in WMT would have grown to $3601, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 11.4% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. WMT has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WMT pay a dividend?
Yes. Walmart Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 83.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20