WMB
The Williams Companies Inc. Energy - Pipelines Investor Relations →
The Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) closed at $73.38 as of 2026-07-17, trading 62.1% above its 200-week moving average of $45.26. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 66.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2276 weeks of data, WMB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 36 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WMB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.0%.
With a market cap of $89.7 billion, WMB is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 19.7%, a solid level. The stock trades at 7.0x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WMB would have grown to $4564, compared to $3082 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.0% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming WMB as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -29.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WMB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WMB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying WMB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -13.4% after 12 months (median -8.0%), compared to +2.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 22% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -17.5% vs +17.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WMB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WMB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WMB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $64.40 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $71.32 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $79.90 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $90.82 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $105.21 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WMB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WMB has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +14.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1982 | Jan 1983 | 4 | 13.9% | +84.6% | +19227.5% |
| Mar 1986 | Mar 1986 | 1 | 2.4% | +53.0% | +11376.0% |
| Apr 1986 | May 1986 | 2 | 2.0% | +43.9% | +11126.5% |
| Jun 1986 | Nov 1986 | 23 | 25.5% | +57.1% | +11086.1% |
| Jan 1987 | Jan 1987 | 3 | 0.6% | +13.2% | +10338.1% |
| Nov 1987 | Jan 1988 | 8 | 17.3% | +31.0% | +9845.7% |
| Jan 1988 | Feb 1988 | 4 | 5.5% | +43.6% | +9800.7% |
| Jul 1990 | Feb 1991 | 32 | 17.3% | +23.3% | +7294.1% |
| May 1992 | Jul 1992 | 10 | 6.4% | +75.2% | +6559.0% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 0.3% | -19.8% | +688.0% |
| Aug 2001 | Nov 2004 | 171 | 96.7% | -90.8% | +629.3% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2010 | 114 | 61.5% | -28.3% | +721.8% |
| Nov 2015 | Jan 2018 | 112 | 63.6% | -5.5% | +280.4% |
| Jan 2018 | Jul 2018 | 28 | 22.9% | -14.0% | +257.8% |
| Sep 2018 | Feb 2019 | 23 | 22.2% | -12.0% | +289.7% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 7.7% | -6.1% | +345.2% |
| Sep 2019 | Feb 2021 | 71 | 52.0% | -10.5% | +334.6% |
| Average | 36 | — | +14.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMB below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) is currently 62.1% above its 200-week moving average of $45.26. It would need to fall to $45.26 to cross below the line.
What is WMB's 200-week moving average price?
The Williams Companies Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $45.26 as of 2026-07-17. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WMB drops below its 200-week moving average?
WMB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 36 weeks on average.
Is WMB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WMB as of 2026-07-17: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 19.7%. Price-to-book is 7.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WMB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in WMB would have grown to $4564, compared to $3082 for the S&P 500. That's 12.0% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. WMB has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WMB pay a dividend?
Yes. The Williams Companies Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 281.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-17