VZ
Verizon Communications Inc. Communication Services - Telecom Investor Relations →
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) closed at $50.61 as of 2026-09-11, trading 37.9% above its 200-week moving average of $36.70. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 37.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.61 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 2185 weeks of data, VZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VZ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.6%.
With a market cap of $210.3 billion, VZ is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 15.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VZ would have grown to $1028, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. VZ has returned 7.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VZ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VZ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying VZ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.3% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +4.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +10.2% vs +12.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VZ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VZ would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where VZ's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-20.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $36.43 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $39.45 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $43.02 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $47.29 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $52.52 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.27 | $1.30 | +2.7% |
| 2026-04-27 | $1.21 | $1.28 | +5.8% |
| 2026-01-30 | $1.06 | $1.09 | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-29 | $1.19 | $1.21 | +1.5% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from VZ's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
VZ has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +7.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1992 | Apr 1992 | 2 | 0.7% | +39.4% | +1258.3% |
| Aug 2000 | Sep 2000 | 7 | 10.3% | +33.9% | +382.6% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 0.4% | +15.8% | +327.3% |
| Mar 2001 | Mar 2001 | 3 | 4.1% | +0.6% | +313.3% |
| Aug 2001 | Sep 2001 | 4 | 3.0% | -35.9% | +288.8% |
| Oct 2001 | Aug 2004 | 146 | 42.8% | -24.9% | +281.4% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2006 | 56 | 13.4% | -8.3% | +360.2% |
| Apr 2006 | Apr 2006 | 1 | 0.1% | +26.5% | +390.8% |
| May 2006 | Jun 2006 | 6 | 5.1% | +41.2% | +402.0% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 2 | 2.5% | +43.0% | +398.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2008 | 9 | 22.8% | -1.2% | +331.4% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 11 | 15.3% | +8.4% | +349.4% |
| Apr 2009 | Nov 2009 | 32 | 9.7% | -1.0% | +317.7% |
| Jan 2010 | Jul 2010 | 28 | 12.7% | +31.4% | +314.7% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 0.7% | +27.0% | +111.8% |
| Jun 2017 | Jul 2017 | 4 | 2.6% | +18.3% | +87.6% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 4 | 3.1% | -20.1% | +34.9% |
| Dec 2021 | Jan 2022 | 1 | 0.0% | -20.0% | +32.0% |
| Mar 2022 | Apr 2022 | 3 | 2.4% | -23.3% | +33.5% |
| Apr 2022 | Jun 2024 | 113 | 30.1% | -10.8% | +44.7% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 0.6% | +14.7% | +43.9% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 1.8% | +12.4% | +47.6% |
| Average | 20 | — | +7.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VZ below its 200-week moving average?
No. Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) is currently 37.9% above its 200-week moving average of $36.70. It would need to fall to $36.70 to cross below the line.
What is VZ's 200-week moving average price?
Verizon Communications Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $36.70 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VZ drops below its 200-week moving average?
VZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is VZ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VZ as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow yield is 8.3%. Return on equity is 15.8%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VZ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in VZ would have grown to $1028, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. That's 7.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. VZ has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does VZ pay a dividend?
Yes. Verizon Communications Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 559.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11