URBN
Urban Outfitters Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Apparel Retail Investor Relations →
Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) closed at $63.39 as of 2026-03-20, trading 45.6% above its 200-week moving average of $43.52. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 46.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 28, URBN is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.83 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1640 weeks of data, URBN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought URBN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.8%.
With a market cap of $5.7 billion, URBN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.8%. Return on equity stands at 17.6%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 4.3% reduction over three years. URBN passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 31.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in URBN would have grown to $3381, compared to $2377 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.8% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming URBN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 49% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: URBN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After URBN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 34 historical episodes, buying URBN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +27.6% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +12.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +62.1% vs +25.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment URBN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
URBN has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +24.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1995 | Sep 1995 | 31 | 26.7% | -4.0% | +3916.8% |
| Oct 1995 | Jan 1996 | 12 | 13.3% | +43.2% | +4510.2% |
| Dec 1996 | May 1997 | 22 | 22.5% | +15.1% | +3727.3% |
| May 1997 | May 1997 | 1 | 3.8% | +32.4% | +3763.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Nov 1998 | 15 | 23.4% | +90.0% | +3280.8% |
| Feb 1999 | Apr 1999 | 8 | 19.8% | +0.9% | +3554.9% |
| Oct 1999 | Oct 1999 | 1 | 3.9% | -51.5% | +2973.5% |
| Jan 2000 | May 2001 | 72 | 55.8% | -36.7% | +3763.8% |
| Jun 2001 | Aug 2001 | 12 | 30.8% | +147.4% | +3889.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 7 | 30.9% | +136.7% | +4706.8% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 2.9% | +372.4% | +2758.6% |
| Jul 2006 | Sep 2006 | 9 | 8.8% | +41.7% | +314.3% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 5.5% | +58.2% | +226.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 42 | 43.2% | +32.3% | +169.1% |
| Jun 2011 | Jul 2011 | 3 | 1.7% | -4.5% | +120.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Mar 2012 | 31 | 23.6% | +21.1% | +144.3% |
| Apr 2012 | Apr 2012 | 1 | 0.6% | +44.3% | +121.1% |
| Apr 2012 | Jul 2012 | 10 | 10.9% | +46.7% | +123.9% |
| May 2014 | Jul 2014 | 9 | 4.7% | +7.1% | +94.8% |
| Oct 2014 | Dec 2014 | 10 | 13.9% | -1.0% | +114.0% |
| Jan 2015 | Jan 2015 | 1 | 2.6% | -36.5% | +90.2% |
| May 2015 | Jun 2015 | 2 | 2.0% | -18.3% | +81.9% |
| Jun 2015 | Jun 2015 | 1 | 0.3% | -25.9% | +80.7% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2016 | 57 | 40.4% | -17.1% | +80.2% |
| Sep 2016 | Oct 2016 | 1 | 1.7% | -30.8% | +83.6% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 3 | 8.1% | -26.7% | +88.8% |
| Nov 2016 | Nov 2017 | 53 | 45.9% | -10.1% | +88.9% |
| Jan 2019 | Apr 2019 | 9 | 10.1% | -18.1% | +102.8% |
| Apr 2019 | Nov 2020 | 83 | 57.5% | -39.7% | +104.9% |
| Dec 2020 | Feb 2021 | 8 | 8.8% | +14.6% | +138.0% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 3 | 3.2% | -35.4% | +108.2% |
| Dec 2021 | Nov 2022 | 50 | 32.3% | -10.4% | +107.6% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 10.0% | +38.5% | +141.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 1.8% | +65.9% | +144.9% |
| Average | 17 | — | +24.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is URBN below its 200-week moving average?
No. Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) is currently 45.6% above its 200-week moving average of $43.52. It would need to fall to $43.52 to cross below the line.
What is URBN's 200-week moving average price?
Urban Outfitters Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $43.52 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when URBN drops below its 200-week moving average?
URBN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is URBN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about URBN as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 28 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 3.8%. Return on equity is 17.6%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does URBN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.5 years, $100 invested in URBN would have grown to $3381, compared to $2377 for the S&P 500. That's 11.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index. URBN has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20