TTWO
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. Communication Services - Gaming Investor Relations →
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (TTWO) closed at $242.44 as of 2026-05-15, trading 42.2% above its 200-week moving average of $170.49. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 29.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 73, TTWO is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1469 weeks of data, TTWO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TTWO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +33.6%.
With a market cap of $44.9 billion, TTWO is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.3%. Return on equity stands at -86.2%. The stock trades at 12.8x book value.
Share count has increased 53.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 28.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TTWO would have grown to $4546, compared to $1096 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.5% vs 8.8% for the index — confirming TTWO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TTWO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TTWO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying TTWO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.4% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +6.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +55.2% vs +10.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TTWO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices TTWO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where TTWO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2025-12-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $188.28 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $205.19 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $225.44 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $250.12 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $280.87 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
TTWO has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +33.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1998 | Dec 1998 | 29 | 25.6% | +5.3% | +5004.3% |
| Jun 1999 | Jun 1999 | 3 | 6.9% | +50.8% | +4749.1% |
| Apr 2000 | Apr 2000 | 1 | 3.9% | +54.5% | +4308.3% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 4 | 33.1% | +235.0% | +4550.7% |
| Dec 2001 | Dec 2001 | 1 | 5.5% | +126.1% | +3420.6% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 4.8% | -15.1% | +1196.6% |
| Oct 2005 | Dec 2006 | 57 | 49.9% | -19.5% | +1231.4% |
| Dec 2006 | Mar 2007 | 11 | 15.5% | +1.3% | +1212.7% |
| Mar 2007 | Apr 2007 | 1 | 0.1% | +25.8% | +1103.8% |
| Apr 2007 | Jun 2007 | 8 | 8.3% | +29.8% | +1111.1% |
| Jun 2007 | Feb 2008 | 35 | 38.7% | +29.0% | +1114.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Jan 2011 | 124 | 66.1% | -29.2% | +1363.2% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 19.8% | -32.5% | +1697.2% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.4% | -6.4% | +1727.0% |
| May 2012 | Nov 2012 | 26 | 30.1% | +45.9% | +2066.6% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 2 | 6.0% | +54.9% | +2036.0% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2023 | 66 | 30.9% | -15.8% | +71.6% |
| Jul 2023 | Nov 2023 | 14 | 8.2% | +1.1% | +70.5% |
| Mar 2024 | May 2024 | 11 | 6.5% | +42.2% | +68.7% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 2 | 4.0% | +53.5% | +68.7% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.4% | +68.6% | +63.0% |
| Average | 19 | — | +33.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTWO below its 200-week moving average?
No. Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (TTWO) is currently 42.2% above its 200-week moving average of $170.49. It would need to fall to $170.49 to cross below the line.
What is TTWO's 200-week moving average price?
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $170.49 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TTWO drops below its 200-week moving average?
TTWO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +33.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is TTWO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TTWO as of 2026-05-15: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 73 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 3.3%. Return on equity is -86.2%. Price-to-book is 12.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TTWO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 28.2 years, $100 invested in TTWO would have grown to $4546, compared to $1096 for the S&P 500. That's 14.5% annualized vs 8.8% for the index. TTWO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15