SWKS
Skyworks Solutions Inc. Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS) closed at $59.35 as of 2026-07-17, trading 27.3% below its 200-week moving average of $81.67. This places SWKS in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -26.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 53, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.77 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2136 weeks of data, SWKS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 44 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SWKS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +81.4%.
With a market cap of $8.9 billion, SWKS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.7%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 6.2%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SWKS would have grown to $7000, compared to $3082 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.5% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming SWKS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SWKS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SWKS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying SWKS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +88.3% after 12 months (median +39.0%), compared to +12.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +170.0% vs +31.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SWKS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SWKS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SWKS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $40.05 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $46.59 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $55.68 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $69.19 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $91.35 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SWKS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SWKS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +81.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1985 | Dec 1992 | 382 | 63.6% | -27.6% | +1757.3% |
| Dec 1992 | Dec 1992 | 1 | 0.0% | +34.6% | +6900.4% |
| Feb 1993 | May 1993 | 14 | 12.6% | +28.0% | +7180.4% |
| Mar 1994 | Apr 1994 | 1 | 3.1% | +260.0% | +7180.4% |
| Apr 1994 | May 1994 | 1 | 5.3% | +328.6% | +7329.0% |
| Jul 1996 | Aug 1996 | 1 | 1.2% | +75.8% | +2933.5% |
| Sep 1996 | Dec 1996 | 11 | 21.6% | +107.5% | +2933.5% |
| Dec 1996 | Jun 1997 | 27 | 32.9% | +87.5% | +2743.9% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 7 | 16.7% | +669.8% | +1992.1% |
| Feb 2001 | Apr 2001 | 8 | 32.2% | -13.6% | +321.3% |
| Jun 2001 | Jun 2001 | 1 | 3.4% | -70.2% | +252.7% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 5 | 19.6% | -81.2% | +216.7% |
| Nov 2001 | Jul 2007 | 292 | 87.1% | -49.8% | +216.0% |
| Aug 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 | 0.1% | +28.5% | +924.8% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 2 | 6.3% | +14.6% | +1030.2% |
| Oct 2008 | Mar 2009 | 22 | 46.0% | +91.5% | +1070.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Dec 2011 | 4 | 8.5% | +54.1% | +436.7% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 3 | 1.4% | +38.0% | +283.0% |
| Feb 2013 | Mar 2013 | 1 | 0.4% | +71.3% | +266.4% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 3 | 4.9% | +71.7% | +262.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Apr 2019 | 24 | 26.2% | +5.3% | -15.7% |
| May 2019 | Oct 2019 | 22 | 20.4% | +37.4% | -13.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 15.4% | +110.4% | -16.0% |
| Apr 2022 | Ongoing | 223+ | 50.3% | Ongoing | -42.4% |
| Average | 44 | — | +81.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SWKS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-17, Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS) is trading 27.3% below its 200-week moving average of $81.67. The current price is $59.35.
What is SWKS's 200-week moving average price?
Skyworks Solutions Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $81.67 as of 2026-07-17. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SWKS drops below its 200-week moving average?
SWKS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +81.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 44 weeks on average.
Is SWKS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SWKS as of 2026-07-17: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 53. Free cash flow yield is 7.7%. Return on equity is 6.2%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SWKS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in SWKS would have grown to $7000, compared to $3082 for the S&P 500. That's 13.5% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. SWKS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SWKS pay a dividend?
Yes. Skyworks Solutions Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 493.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-17