SWKS

Skyworks Solutions Inc. Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →

NO
8.6% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was -9.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $81.35
14-Week RSI 64
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.6x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.35

Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS) closed at $88.35 as of 2026-09-11, trading 8.6% above its 200-week moving average of $81.35. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -9.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.35 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2144 weeks of data, SWKS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 44 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SWKS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +81.4%.

With a market cap of $13.3 billion, SWKS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.4%. Return on equity stands at 5.1%. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.2% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SWKS would have grown to $10421, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.8% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming SWKS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: SWKS vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After SWKS Crosses Below the Line?

Across 23 historical episodes, buying SWKS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +88.3% after 12 months (median +39.0%), compared to +12.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +170.0% vs +31.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SWKS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SWKS would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score -0.29σ
Current FCF Yield 3.08%
Baseline Yield 4.34%
Historical σ 0.88pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where SWKS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$53.38Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$64.52Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$81.51Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$110.67Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$172.29Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-07-28$1.03$1.08+4.8%
2026-05-05$1.04$1.15+10.1%
2026-02-03$1.40$1.54+10.1%
2025-11-04$1.53$1.76+14.8%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 23 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

12 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from SWKS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation +0.02σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.20σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +0.43σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -4.5pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -7.7pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+4.5pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

SWKS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +81.4% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Aug 1985Dec 199238263.6%-27.6%+2664.8%
Dec 1992Dec 199210.0%+34.6%+10321.0%
Feb 1993May 19931412.6%+28.0%+10737.9%
Mar 1994Apr 199413.1%+260.0%+10737.9%
Apr 1994May 199415.3%+328.6%+10959.0%
Jul 1996Aug 199611.2%+75.8%+4415.8%
Sep 1996Dec 19961121.6%+107.5%+4415.8%
Dec 1996Jun 19972732.9%+87.5%+4133.5%
Aug 1998Oct 1998716.7%+669.8%+3014.3%
Feb 2001Apr 2001832.2%-13.6%+527.2%
Jun 2001Jun 200113.4%-70.2%+425.1%
Sep 2001Oct 2001519.6%-81.2%+371.4%
Nov 2001Jul 200729287.1%-49.8%+370.4%
Aug 2007Aug 200710.1%+28.5%+1425.6%
Mar 2008Mar 200826.3%+14.6%+1582.5%
Oct 2008Mar 20092246.0%+91.5%+1642.2%
Nov 2011Dec 201148.5%+54.1%+699.0%
Dec 2012Dec 201231.4%+38.0%+470.2%
Feb 2013Mar 201310.4%+71.3%+445.4%
Apr 2013Apr 201334.9%+71.7%+439.9%
Oct 2018Apr 20192426.2%+5.3%+25.5%
May 2019Oct 20192220.4%+37.4%+28.2%
Mar 2020Apr 2020415.4%+110.4%+25.0%
Apr 2022Ongoing231+50.3%Ongoing-14.2%
Average44+81.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SWKS below its 200-week moving average?

No. Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS) is currently 8.6% above its 200-week moving average of $81.35. It would need to fall to $81.35 to cross below the line.

What is SWKS's 200-week moving average price?

Skyworks Solutions Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $81.35 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when SWKS drops below its 200-week moving average?

SWKS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +81.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 44 weeks on average.

Is SWKS a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about SWKS as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 64. Free cash flow yield is 3.4%. Return on equity is 5.1%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does SWKS compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in SWKS would have grown to $10421, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. That's 14.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SWKS has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does SWKS pay a dividend?

Yes. Skyworks Solutions Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 413.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-11