SPGI
S&P Global Inc. Financial Services - Data & Analytics Investor Relations →
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) closed at $403.15 as of 2026-05-15, trading 6.8% below its 200-week moving average of $432.42. This places SPGI in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -2.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2729 weeks of data, SPGI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SPGI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.6%.
With a market cap of $119.3 billion, SPGI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.4%. Return on equity stands at 13.9%. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
SPGI is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 96.00%. The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SPGI would have grown to $9990, compared to $3058 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.8% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming SPGI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 5 open-market purchases totaling $3,586,149. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while SPGI is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 29.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SPGI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SPGI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying SPGI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.8% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +11.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.6% vs +29.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SPGI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SPGI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SPGI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $342.21 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $369.17 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $400.75 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $438.23 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $483.45 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
SPGI has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +19.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Feb 1975 | 54 | 33.7% | +14.5% | +229277.1% |
| Nov 1987 | Feb 1988 | 10 | 5.2% | +27.7% | +14747.0% |
| May 1988 | May 1988 | 2 | 5.9% | +49.9% | +14122.1% |
| Dec 1989 | Feb 1991 | 64 | 30.0% | -6.7% | +11890.0% |
| Aug 1991 | Dec 1991 | 18 | 8.6% | +7.5% | +11762.9% |
| Oct 2001 | Oct 2001 | 1 | 1.2% | +21.7% | +2344.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 7.2% | +24.4% | +2265.7% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 12 | 4.3% | +29.1% | +2047.4% |
| Oct 2007 | Oct 2010 | 156 | 62.0% | -41.0% | +1110.7% |
| Nov 2010 | Dec 2010 | 3 | 5.5% | +26.0% | +1364.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 7 | 11.0% | +18.1% | +30.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 3 | 3.0% | +32.3% | +26.5% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 2 | 4.0% | +51.2% | +17.5% |
| Feb 2026 | Feb 2026 | 2 | 4.2% | N/A | -1.3% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 5 | 5.3% | N/A | -4.6% |
| Apr 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 6.8% | Ongoing | -5.4% |
| Average | 21 | — | +19.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPGI below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-15, S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) is trading 6.8% below its 200-week moving average of $432.42. The current price is $403.15.
What is SPGI's 200-week moving average price?
S&P Global Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $432.42 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SPGI drops below its 200-week moving average?
SPGI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is SPGI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SPGI as of 2026-05-15: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 4.4%. Return on equity is 13.9%. Price-to-book is 3.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SPGI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.4 years, $100 invested in SPGI would have grown to $9990, compared to $3058 for the S&P 500. That's 14.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SPGI has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SPGI pay a dividend?
Yes. S&P Global Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 96.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15