SIG
Signet Jewelers Limited Consumer Discretionary - Jewelry Retail Investor Relations →
Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) closed at $75.99 as of 2026-05-15, trading 3.2% below its 200-week moving average of $78.47. This places SIG in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 11.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 36, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.12 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1926 weeks of data, SIG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 50 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SIG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.6%.
With a market cap of $6.0 billion, SIG is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 15.4%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SIG would have grown to $2565, compared to $3058 for the S&P 500. SIG has returned 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SIG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SIG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying SIG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.7% after 12 months (median +57.0%), compared to +22.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.8% vs +35.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SIG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SIG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SIG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $37.67 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $40.20 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $43.09 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $46.42 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $50.32 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
SIG has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +11.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1989 | Oct 1989 | 1 | 1.1% | +2.2% | +71.0% |
| Feb 1990 | Feb 1990 | 1 | 0.7% | -23.9% | +67.3% |
| Mar 1990 | May 1990 | 8 | 4.9% | -13.5% | +72.9% |
| Sep 1990 | Oct 1990 | 1 | 0.5% | -45.7% | +63.7% |
| Oct 1990 | Apr 1996 | 284 | 94.7% | -65.2% | +67.3% |
| Jul 1996 | Aug 1996 | 7 | 5.0% | +43.7% | +1824.0% |
| Sep 1996 | Oct 1996 | 4 | 5.8% | +58.8% | +1824.0% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 0.1% | +116.2% | +1454.7% |
| Sep 2007 | Feb 2010 | 127 | 77.6% | -35.3% | +185.3% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 0.5% | +73.0% | +250.1% |
| May 2016 | Jan 2021 | 240 | 86.1% | -39.0% | +5.2% |
| Jan 2025 | Jun 2025 | 20 | 36.8% | +67.9% | +34.6% |
| Aug 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 1.2% | N/A | +2.7% |
| May 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 3.2% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 50 | — | +11.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SIG below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-15, Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) is trading 3.2% below its 200-week moving average of $78.47. The current price is $75.99.
What is SIG's 200-week moving average price?
Signet Jewelers Limited's 200-week moving average is $78.47 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SIG drops below its 200-week moving average?
SIG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +11.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 50 weeks on average.
Is SIG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SIG as of 2026-05-15: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 36. Free cash flow yield is 6.0%. Return on equity is 15.4%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SIG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.4 years, $100 invested in SIG would have grown to $2565, compared to $3058 for the S&P 500. That's 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SIG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SIG pay a dividend?
Yes. Signet Jewelers Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 184.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15