SHAK
Shake Shack Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) closed at $87.63 as of 2026-03-20, trading 5.3% above its 200-week moving average of $83.23. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 4.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 53, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.28 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 533 weeks of data, SHAK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SHAK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +49.1%.
With a market cap of $3.7 billion, SHAK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.8%. Return on equity stands at 9.5%. The stock trades at 6.7x book value.
Share count has increased 2.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 10.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SHAK would have grown to $253, compared to $396 for the S&P 500. SHAK has returned 9.5% annualized vs 14.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SHAK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SHAK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying SHAK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +49.9% after 12 months (median +33.0%), compared to +21.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.2% vs +37.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SHAK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SHAK has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +49.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2016 | Dec 2017 | 100 | 39.3% | +4.8% | +151.1% |
| Feb 2018 | Mar 2018 | 7 | 8.8% | +28.4% | +121.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 4.1% | +44.8% | +106.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 7 | 33.9% | +214.8% | +126.4% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 3.4% | +70.5% | +79.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Aug 2020 | 7 | 5.7% | +112.1% | +76.6% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 0.4% | -25.6% | +25.5% |
| Jan 2022 | Feb 2022 | 5 | 11.9% | -33.3% | +26.0% |
| Feb 2022 | Jun 2023 | 67 | 44.6% | -15.0% | +28.4% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 14 | 22.1% | +43.2% | +34.4% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 2 | 4.1% | +94.9% | +33.0% |
| Dec 2025 | Dec 2025 | 1 | 3.9% | N/A | +12.3% |
| Average | 18 | — | +49.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHAK below its 200-week moving average?
No. Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) is currently 5.3% above its 200-week moving average of $83.23. It would need to fall to $83.23 to cross below the line.
What is SHAK's 200-week moving average price?
Shake Shack Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $83.23 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SHAK drops below its 200-week moving average?
SHAK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +49.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is SHAK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SHAK as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 53. Free cash flow yield is 0.8%. Return on equity is 9.5%. Price-to-book is 6.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SHAK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.2 years, $100 invested in SHAK would have grown to $253, compared to $396 for the S&P 500. That's 9.5% annualized vs 14.4% for the index. SHAK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20