ORCL
Oracle Corporation Technology - Enterprise Software Investor Relations →
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) closed at $149.68 as of 2026-03-20, trading 9.9% above its 200-week moving average of $136.24. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 14.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.22 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2040 weeks of data, ORCL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ORCL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +41.5%.
With a market cap of $430.5 billion, ORCL is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 57.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 12.8x book value.
Share count has increased 5.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ORCL would have grown to $23329, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.8% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming ORCL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ORCL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ORCL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying ORCL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +39.7% after 12 months (median +38.0%), compared to +17.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +204.5% vs +34.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ORCL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ORCL has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +41.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1990 | Sep 1991 | 56 | 53.3% | -3.2% | +65120.8% |
| Dec 1991 | Dec 1991 | 3 | 7.7% | +90.6% | +63082.7% |
| Apr 1992 | Apr 1992 | 3 | 5.1% | +170.8% | +57122.1% |
| Dec 1997 | Jan 1998 | 5 | 13.1% | +92.1% | +5139.6% |
| Jun 1998 | Jul 1998 | 1 | 2.5% | +152.0% | +4810.4% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 4 | 13.7% | +143.3% | +4617.0% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 4 | 13.4% | -10.4% | +1231.3% |
| May 2001 | May 2001 | 1 | 0.2% | -49.6% | +1077.4% |
| May 2001 | Jun 2001 | 3 | 7.3% | -50.1% | +1080.4% |
| Aug 2001 | Nov 2004 | 169 | 57.8% | -35.3% | +1134.9% |
| Nov 2004 | Nov 2004 | 2 | 1.2% | -1.0% | +1368.3% |
| Mar 2005 | May 2005 | 7 | 6.0% | +11.2% | +1409.7% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 0.7% | +51.8% | +1462.7% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 4.0% | +25.0% | +1022.3% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 5 | 5.1% | +33.2% | +1007.7% |
| Jan 2009 | Feb 2009 | 3 | 2.0% | +50.4% | +1007.1% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 5 | 16.2% | +48.3% | +1030.5% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 3 | 4.1% | +12.7% | +403.8% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | +16.5% | +389.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 2.3% | +47.6% | +257.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 4.4% | +76.3% | +156.4% |
| Average | 13 | — | +41.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORCL below its 200-week moving average?
No. Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is currently 9.9% above its 200-week moving average of $136.24. It would need to fall to $136.24 to cross below the line.
What is ORCL's 200-week moving average price?
Oracle Corporation's 200-week moving average is $136.24 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ORCL drops below its 200-week moving average?
ORCL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +41.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is ORCL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ORCL as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 57.6%. Price-to-book is 12.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ORCL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in ORCL would have grown to $23329, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 17.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. ORCL has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ORCL pay a dividend?
Yes. Oracle Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 134.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20