OKTA
Okta Inc. Technology - Identity Management Investor Relations →
Okta Inc. (OKTA) closed at $78.41 as of 2026-03-20, trading 7.3% below its 200-week moving average of $84.60. This places OKTA in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -6.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.14 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 419 weeks of data, OKTA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 40 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -46.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $13.9 billion, OKTA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 3.5%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Share count has increased 9.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 8.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OKTA would have grown to $197, compared to $280 for the S&P 500. OKTA has returned 8.7% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 139.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OKTA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OKTA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying OKTA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -46.0% after 12 months (median -46.0%), compared to -8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -32.0% vs +20.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OKTA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OKTA has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +-46.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2022 | Apr 2025 | 165 | 72.8% | -46.0% | -50.5% |
| May 2025 | Dec 2025 | 28 | 12.5% | N/A | -24.0% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 1 | 4.1% | N/A | -6.3% |
| Jan 2026 | Feb 2026 | 1 | 1.7% | N/A | -7.2% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 5+ | 14.5% | Ongoing | +5.5% |
| Average | 40 | — | +-46.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OKTA below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Okta Inc. (OKTA) is trading 7.3% below its 200-week moving average of $84.60. The current price is $78.41.
What is OKTA's 200-week moving average price?
Okta Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $84.60 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OKTA drops below its 200-week moving average?
OKTA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -46.0%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 40 weeks on average.
Is OKTA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OKTA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 39. Free cash flow yield is 6.0%. Return on equity is 3.5%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OKTA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.1 years, $100 invested in OKTA would have grown to $197, compared to $280 for the S&P 500. That's 8.7% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. OKTA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20