NEE
NextEra Energy Inc. Utilities - Renewable Energy Investor Relations →
NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) closed at $93.36 as of 2026-05-15, trading 31.0% above its 200-week moving average of $71.25. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.07 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2729 weeks of data, NEE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NEE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.8%.
With a market cap of $194.7 billion, NEE is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 10.3%. The stock trades at 3.5x book value.
NEE is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 267.00%. Share count has increased 4.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NEE would have grown to $6336, compared to $3058 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.2% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming NEE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NEE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NEE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying NEE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.1% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +16.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 94% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.4% vs +34.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NEE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NEE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where NEE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $86.98 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $94.86 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $104.29 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $115.82 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $130.20 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
NEE has crossed below its 200-week MA 30 times with an average 1-year return of +13.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Jun 1975 | 72 | 51.0% | -25.1% | +36556.2% |
| Jun 1975 | Oct 1975 | 15 | 18.6% | -3.5% | +38379.9% |
| Oct 1975 | Nov 1975 | 1 | 0.7% | -2.0% | +38379.9% |
| Dec 1975 | Dec 1975 | 2 | 5.7% | +12.0% | +40394.5% |
| Feb 1976 | Sep 1976 | 28 | 15.0% | -3.5% | +38766.6% |
| Oct 1976 | Nov 1976 | 4 | 5.3% | +3.0% | +38766.6% |
| Feb 1977 | Feb 1977 | 1 | 2.9% | +1.6% | +40183.6% |
| Mar 1977 | Mar 1977 | 1 | 2.9% | +5.3% | +40607.7% |
| Sep 1979 | Apr 1980 | 31 | 21.9% | +3.4% | +37084.9% |
| Apr 1980 | May 1980 | 1 | 0.1% | +5.7% | +36907.0% |
| Nov 1980 | Mar 1981 | 19 | 11.1% | +14.8% | +36907.0% |
| Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 3 | 1.6% | +30.4% | +10357.2% |
| May 1994 | May 1994 | 1 | 3.3% | +33.9% | +7287.5% |
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 2 | 4.0% | +38.5% | +7280.4% |
| Sep 1994 | Sep 1994 | 2 | 1.5% | +36.0% | +6970.3% |
| Oct 1999 | May 2000 | 31 | 24.8% | +41.8% | +3519.5% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 1 | 0.9% | +13.8% | +2959.1% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 2 | 4.5% | +31.9% | +3037.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2008 | 11 | 24.5% | +13.9% | +1195.3% |
| Jan 2009 | Jan 2009 | 1 | 3.4% | +4.0% | +1195.4% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 5 | 13.6% | -0.9% | +1167.9% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 5 | 4.7% | +16.6% | +1132.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Jul 2010 | 26 | 12.6% | +11.5% | +1086.2% |
| Jul 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 1.3% | +9.8% | +1022.7% |
| Nov 2010 | Jan 2011 | 8 | 3.7% | +11.1% | +1019.4% |
| Jul 2023 | May 2024 | 40 | 30.1% | +18.1% | +46.4% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 0.5% | +3.1% | +38.7% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 2 | 5.7% | +22.3% | +43.9% |
| Feb 2025 | Mar 2025 | 4 | 4.8% | +35.1% | +42.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 11 | 7.3% | +30.0% | +35.6% |
| Average | 11 | — | +13.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEE below its 200-week moving average?
No. NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) is currently 31.0% above its 200-week moving average of $71.25. It would need to fall to $71.25 to cross below the line.
What is NEE's 200-week moving average price?
NextEra Energy Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $71.25 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NEE drops below its 200-week moving average?
NEE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is NEE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NEE as of 2026-05-15: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 10.3%. Price-to-book is 3.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NEE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.4 years, $100 invested in NEE would have grown to $6336, compared to $3058 for the S&P 500. That's 13.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. NEE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NEE pay a dividend?
Yes. NextEra Energy Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 267.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15