MET
MetLife Inc. Financial Services - Insurance Investor Relations →
MetLife Inc. (MET) closed at $79.78 as of 2026-05-15, trading 17.4% above its 200-week moving average of $67.99. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 14.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1314 weeks of data, MET has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MET at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.0%.
With a market cap of $51.3 billion, MET is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 13.0%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 15.9% over the past three years.
Over the past 25.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MET would have grown to $545, compared to $998 for the S&P 500. MET has returned 6.9% annualized vs 9.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 9.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MET vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MET Crosses Below the Line?
Across 27 historical episodes, buying MET when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.3% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +11.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.2% vs +30.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MET crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices MET would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where MET's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2025-12-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $68.65 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $71.80 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $75.26 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $79.06 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $83.26 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
MET has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +13.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 6.3% | -5.8% | +549.6% |
| Oct 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 4.8% | -15.1% | +509.7% |
| Jul 2002 | Dec 2002 | 22 | 24.5% | +5.8% | +486.2% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 1 | 0.6% | +22.8% | +493.3% |
| Jan 2003 | Mar 2003 | 10 | 6.4% | +25.2% | +490.7% |
| May 2003 | May 2003 | 3 | 2.0% | +25.8% | +501.9% |
| Jul 2003 | Aug 2003 | 1 | 0.1% | +31.4% | +489.2% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 4 | 4.1% | -45.3% | +199.8% |
| Aug 2008 | Aug 2008 | 1 | 1.0% | -24.6% | +190.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2010 | 116 | 76.3% | -13.5% | +263.3% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 4 | 3.8% | -31.9% | +244.9% |
| Jul 2011 | Feb 2012 | 31 | 33.3% | -24.1% | +246.5% |
| Apr 2012 | Sep 2012 | 21 | 22.1% | +6.0% | +295.6% |
| Sep 2012 | Dec 2012 | 15 | 9.3% | +41.5% | +304.3% |
| Feb 2013 | Mar 2013 | 1 | 0.1% | +46.9% | +288.8% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 1 | 0.2% | +47.3% | +285.8% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 2 | 4.6% | +33.6% | +203.8% |
| Feb 2016 | Mar 2016 | 5 | 14.7% | +38.3% | +229.0% |
| Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 3 | 5.6% | +27.3% | +199.2% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 2 | 3.9% | +26.6% | +194.2% |
| May 2016 | Oct 2016 | 18 | 12.7% | +20.0% | +183.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 7.3% | +21.6% | +162.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 8.9% | +26.4% | +153.0% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 1.0% | -39.5% | +143.7% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 43.5% | +41.4% | +129.8% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 3 | 5.3% | +49.9% | +75.7% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 1 | 0.1% | N/A | +18.7% |
| Average | 12 | — | +13.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MET below its 200-week moving average?
No. MetLife Inc. (MET) is currently 17.4% above its 200-week moving average of $67.99. It would need to fall to $67.99 to cross below the line.
What is MET's 200-week moving average price?
MetLife Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $67.99 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MET drops below its 200-week moving average?
MET has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is MET a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MET as of 2026-05-15: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 13.0%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MET compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.2 years, $100 invested in MET would have grown to $545, compared to $998 for the S&P 500. That's 6.9% annualized vs 9.5% for the index. MET has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MET pay a dividend?
Yes. MetLife Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 297.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15