MA
Mastercard Incorporated Financial Services - Payments Investor Relations →
Mastercard Incorporated (MA) closed at $496.32 as of 2026-03-20, trading 10.5% above its 200-week moving average of $449.21. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 11.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 30, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.89 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 986 weeks of data, MA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +49.5%.
With a market cap of $442.9 billion, MA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.7%. Return on equity stands at 209.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 57.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 19 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MA would have grown to $4048, compared to $621 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 21.5% vs 10.1% for the index — confirming MA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 17.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying MA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +45.0% after 12 months (median +46.0%), compared to +27.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +62.3% vs +56.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MA has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +49.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2008 | Feb 2009 | 17 | 17.2% | +41.9% | +3478.9% |
| Mar 2009 | Mar 2009 | 1 | 6.0% | +68.7% | +3704.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 5 | 8.3% | +37.9% | +72.6% |
| Average | 8 | — | +49.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Mastercard Incorporated (MA) is currently 10.5% above its 200-week moving average of $449.21. It would need to fall to $449.21 to cross below the line.
What is MA's 200-week moving average price?
Mastercard Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $449.21 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MA drops below its 200-week moving average?
MA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +49.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is MA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 30. Free cash flow yield is 3.7%. Return on equity is 209.9%. Price-to-book is 57.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19 years, $100 invested in MA would have grown to $4048, compared to $621 for the S&P 500. That's 21.5% annualized vs 10.1% for the index. MA has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MA pay a dividend?
Yes. Mastercard Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 70.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20