LYFT
Lyft, Inc. Technology - Ridesharing Investor Relations →
Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) closed at $12.97 as of 2026-05-15, trading 7.5% below its 200-week moving average of $14.03. This places LYFT in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 2.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 324 weeks of data, LYFT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 42 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -31.9%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $4.9 billion, LYFT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 24.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 147.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Share count has increased 8.3% over three years, indicating dilution. LYFT passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 6.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LYFT would have grown to $59, compared to $314 for the S&P 500. LYFT has returned -8.1% annualized vs 20.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LYFT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LYFT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying LYFT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -4.5% after 12 months (median -70.0%), compared to +5.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -36.8% vs +20.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LYFT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LYFT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LYFT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $9.06 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $10.21 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $11.69 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $13.66 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $16.45 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
LYFT has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-31.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 57.9% | +78.0% | -64.0% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 0.9% | -63.7% | -71.7% |
| Oct 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 1.7% | -68.3% | -71.7% |
| Nov 2021 | Sep 2025 | 198 | 77.0% | -73.7% | -69.4% |
| Feb 2026 | Apr 2026 | 9 | 8.5% | N/A | -2.3% |
| May 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 7.5% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 42 | — | +-31.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LYFT below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-15, Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) is trading 7.5% below its 200-week moving average of $14.03. The current price is $12.97.
What is LYFT's 200-week moving average price?
Lyft, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $14.03 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LYFT drops below its 200-week moving average?
LYFT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -31.9%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 42 weeks on average.
Is LYFT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LYFT as of 2026-05-15: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow yield is 24.7%. Return on equity is 147.8%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LYFT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 6.2 years, $100 invested in LYFT would have grown to $59, compared to $314 for the S&P 500. That's -8.1% annualized vs 20.1% for the index. LYFT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15