LVS
Las Vegas Sands Corp. Consumer Discretionary - Casinos Investor Relations →
Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) closed at $51.16 as of 2026-05-15, trading 6.8% above its 200-week moving average of $47.90. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 10.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.73 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1069 weeks of data, LVS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LVS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +2.5%.
With a market cap of $33.9 billion, LVS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.8%. Return on equity stands at 90.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 28.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 20.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LVS would have grown to $199, compared to $861 for the S&P 500. LVS has returned 3.4% annualized vs 11.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LVS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LVS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying LVS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.9% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +11.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.0% vs +27.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LVS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LVS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LVS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $45.20 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $47.50 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $50.04 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $52.87 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $56.04 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
LVS has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +2.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2005 | Jan 2006 | 4 | 3.9% | +135.0% | +102.0% |
| Apr 2008 | Apr 2008 | 1 | 2.4% | -92.6% | +19.9% |
| May 2008 | Nov 2010 | 128 | 97.2% | -86.6% | +21.1% |
| Dec 2010 | Dec 2010 | 1 | 0.1% | -3.0% | +79.1% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 2 | 14.5% | +36.9% | +102.8% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 3 | 4.2% | +19.4% | +109.3% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 1 | 1.8% | +3.9% | +35.4% |
| Apr 2015 | Jun 2015 | 9 | 5.3% | -9.7% | +32.5% |
| Aug 2015 | Mar 2016 | 31 | 26.8% | +4.8% | +32.1% |
| Mar 2016 | Aug 2016 | 22 | 18.4% | +16.4% | +28.2% |
| Jan 2017 | Feb 2017 | 4 | 2.5% | +51.9% | +22.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Dec 2018 | 10 | 9.1% | +23.2% | +12.5% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 3 | 3.2% | -14.4% | +4.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 36 | 31.5% | +16.1% | +0.7% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 5 | 14.7% | -19.6% | +1.4% |
| May 2021 | Jan 2023 | 83 | 38.0% | -38.1% | -4.2% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 10 | 8.0% | -17.3% | +10.5% |
| Nov 2023 | Dec 2023 | 2 | 2.8% | +15.4% | +14.9% |
| Apr 2024 | Sep 2024 | 23 | 19.5% | -26.5% | +17.8% |
| Jan 2025 | Jun 2025 | 24 | 28.4% | +35.6% | +19.0% |
| Average | 20 | — | +2.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LVS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) is currently 6.8% above its 200-week moving average of $47.90. It would need to fall to $47.90 to cross below the line.
What is LVS's 200-week moving average price?
Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $47.90 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LVS drops below its 200-week moving average?
LVS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +2.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is LVS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LVS as of 2026-05-15: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow yield is 4.8%. Return on equity is 90.5%. Price-to-book is 28.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LVS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.6 years, $100 invested in LVS would have grown to $199, compared to $861 for the S&P 500. That's 3.4% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. LVS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LVS pay a dividend?
Yes. Las Vegas Sands Corp. currently pays a dividend yield of 215.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15