LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Apparel Investor Relations →
Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU) closed at $162.82 as of 2026-03-20, trading 48.3% below its 200-week moving average of $314.98. This places LULU in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -50.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 28, LULU is in oversold territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (1.64 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 925 weeks of data, LULU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LULU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.9%.
With a market cap of $19.1 billion, LULU is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.3%. Return on equity stands at 34.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.6% over the past three years. LULU passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 17.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LULU would have grown to $1185, compared to $706 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.9% vs 11.6% for the index — confirming LULU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LULU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LULU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying LULU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.6% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +46.7% vs +31.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LULU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LULU has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +18.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2008 | Oct 2009 | 66 | 83.1% | -55.4% | +1085.4% |
| Jan 2014 | Jan 2015 | 52 | 33.7% | +32.7% | +242.9% |
| May 2015 | Jun 2015 | 1 | 1.1% | +8.2% | +172.3% |
| Sep 2015 | Jan 2016 | 20 | 26.4% | +20.0% | +201.5% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 2.3% | +14.9% | +176.7% |
| Oct 2016 | Dec 2016 | 9 | 8.6% | +5.2% | +179.3% |
| Mar 2017 | Jun 2017 | 13 | 17.6% | +71.8% | +213.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 3.9% | +43.7% | -38.2% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 1.8% | +37.9% | -41.8% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 2 | 3.5% | +55.4% | -45.0% |
| Apr 2024 | Dec 2024 | 35 | 34.2% | -26.1% | -54.4% |
| Mar 2025 | Ongoing | 55+ | 52.7% | Ongoing | -52.7% |
| Average | 21 | — | +18.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LULU below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU) is trading 48.3% below its 200-week moving average of $314.98. The current price is $162.82.
What is LULU's 200-week moving average price?
Lululemon Athletica Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $314.98 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LULU drops below its 200-week moving average?
LULU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is LULU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LULU as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 28 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 4.3%. Return on equity is 34.0%. Price-to-book is 3.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LULU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17.8 years, $100 invested in LULU would have grown to $1185, compared to $706 for the S&P 500. That's 14.9% annualized vs 11.6% for the index. LULU has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20