LOW
Lowe's Companies Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Home Improvement Investor Relations →
Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) closed at $224.63 as of 2026-03-20, trading 2.6% above its 200-week moving average of $218.98. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 8.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.82 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2352 weeks of data, LOW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LOW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.3%.
With a market cap of $126.0 billion, LOW is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.3%. The stock trades at -12.7x book value.
LOW is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 214.00%. The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 16.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LOW would have grown to $19378, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.2% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming LOW as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -2.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LOW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LOW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying LOW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +37.1% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.4% vs +8.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LOW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LOW has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +23.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1981 | Aug 1982 | 52 | 46.4% | -7.8% | +60146.7% |
| Oct 1983 | Nov 1983 | 3 | 6.9% | +11.2% | +58729.2% |
| Dec 1983 | Dec 1983 | 2 | 3.1% | +14.0% | +58045.1% |
| Jan 1984 | Oct 1984 | 38 | 23.9% | +34.5% | +59429.6% |
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 8 | 8.9% | +17.7% | +56537.6% |
| Nov 1985 | Dec 1985 | 3 | 2.8% | +14.3% | +54140.5% |
| Sep 1986 | Oct 1986 | 7 | 7.3% | +6.6% | +48013.4% |
| Nov 1986 | Nov 1986 | 1 | 1.3% | -24.1% | +47338.5% |
| Dec 1986 | Dec 1986 | 1 | 0.5% | -34.5% | +47104.8% |
| May 1987 | May 1987 | 1 | 4.7% | -16.0% | +49474.6% |
| Sep 1987 | Apr 1989 | 83 | 37.1% | -16.4% | +46596.3% |
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1991 | 21 | 24.2% | +46.4% | +48516.8% |
| Oct 1991 | Oct 1991 | 2 | 4.9% | +50.5% | +44193.5% |
| Dec 1991 | Dec 1991 | 1 | 0.4% | +94.4% | +41451.5% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 2 | 1.2% | +120.1% | +3186.9% |
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 1 | 1.4% | +13.7% | +1080.5% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 4 | 8.3% | -27.0% | +1028.8% |
| Sep 2007 | Mar 2010 | 128 | 50.6% | -11.4% | +1018.7% |
| May 2010 | Nov 2010 | 26 | 16.7% | +1.4% | +1175.6% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 14 | 12.4% | +27.5% | +1255.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 25.6% | +175.0% | +277.7% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 0.5% | N/A | +7.1% |
| Average | 18 | — | +23.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LOW below its 200-week moving average?
No. Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) is currently 2.6% above its 200-week moving average of $218.98. It would need to fall to $218.98 to cross below the line.
What is LOW's 200-week moving average price?
Lowe's Companies Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $218.98 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LOW drops below its 200-week moving average?
LOW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is LOW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LOW as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 4.3%. Price-to-book is -12.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LOW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in LOW would have grown to $19378, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 17.2% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. LOW has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LOW pay a dividend?
Yes. Lowe's Companies Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 214.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20