JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) closed at $286.56 as of 2026-03-20, trading 47.0% above its 200-week moving average of $194.90. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 46.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.89 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2352 weeks of data, JPM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought JPM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.1%.
With a market cap of $772.9 billion, JPM is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 16.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in JPM would have grown to $5500, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.8% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming JPM as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: JPM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After JPM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying JPM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.4% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +11.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.1% vs +16.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment JPM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
JPM has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +24.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1982 | Sep 1982 | 17 | 13.5% | +59.8% | +19450.9% |
| May 1984 | Jul 1984 | 5 | 5.5% | +86.4% | +16956.5% |
| Jul 1984 | Jul 1984 | 1 | 0.5% | +81.1% | +15983.1% |
| Oct 1987 | Mar 1989 | 74 | 42.0% | -3.2% | +9081.0% |
| Nov 1989 | Jun 1991 | 79 | 57.7% | -60.7% | +8452.5% |
| Jun 1991 | Jul 1991 | 3 | 8.1% | +67.1% | +10608.5% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 6 | 12.6% | +66.0% | +10388.9% |
| Oct 2000 | Dec 2000 | 10 | 13.5% | -19.7% | +1292.3% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 3 | 9.1% | -12.6% | +1311.0% |
| Jun 2001 | Jun 2001 | 1 | 1.4% | -21.0% | +1220.7% |
| Jun 2001 | Oct 2003 | 119 | 60.6% | -20.9% | +1212.6% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 2 | 7.5% | -55.9% | +1102.8% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 7 | 16.1% | -8.3% | +1032.1% |
| Aug 2008 | Sep 2008 | 4 | 5.1% | +14.1% | +1064.0% |
| Oct 2008 | Aug 2009 | 42 | 59.1% | +19.1% | +1018.1% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 4 | 4.1% | +16.2% | +1003.2% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 11 | 10.6% | +9.2% | +981.8% |
| Aug 2010 | Nov 2010 | 12 | 8.2% | -2.9% | +1049.1% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 2 | 5.1% | -20.6% | +992.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 26 | 24.5% | -1.0% | +1030.2% |
| May 2012 | Aug 2012 | 13 | 13.9% | +36.3% | +1024.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 11 | 13.5% | +92.7% | +304.2% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 5.7% | +56.1% | +241.5% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 1.5% | +61.5% | +242.3% |
| Aug 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 1.4% | +63.5% | +239.9% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 3 | 6.1% | +64.9% | +236.3% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 1.2% | +77.6% | +234.3% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 1.3% | +22.6% | +168.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Oct 2022 | 18 | 12.5% | +31.0% | +179.1% |
| Average | 17 | — | +24.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JPM below its 200-week moving average?
No. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is currently 47.0% above its 200-week moving average of $194.90. It would need to fall to $194.90 to cross below the line.
What is JPM's 200-week moving average price?
JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s 200-week moving average is $194.90 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when JPM drops below its 200-week moving average?
JPM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is JPM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about JPM as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 38. Return on equity is 16.1%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does JPM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in JPM would have grown to $5500, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 12.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. JPM has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does JPM pay a dividend?
Yes. JPMorgan Chase & Co. currently pays a dividend yield of 209.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20