INTU
Intuit Inc. Technology - Software Investor Relations →
Intuit Inc. (INTU) closed at $393.00 as of 2026-05-15, trading 28.6% below its 200-week moving average of $550.10. This places INTU in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -27.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1683 weeks of data, INTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought INTU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.6%.
With a market cap of $109.4 billion, INTU is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.8%. Return on equity stands at 23.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.7x book value.
INTU passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 32.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in INTU would have grown to $11834, compared to $2799 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.9% vs 10.9% for the index — confirming INTU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: INTU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After INTU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying INTU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +35.8% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +11.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +99.5% vs +30.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment INTU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices INTU would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where INTU's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $350.67 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $376.17 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $405.68 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $440.21 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $481.17 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
INTU has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +38.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1994 | Aug 1994 | 18 | 15.3% | +129.8% | +16745.6% |
| Sep 1996 | Nov 1996 | 9 | 18.8% | -20.3% | +8224.9% |
| Dec 1996 | Jan 1997 | 2 | 3.4% | +18.8% | +8289.9% |
| Jan 1997 | Dec 1997 | 47 | 36.9% | +18.0% | +8322.8% |
| Jan 1998 | Jan 1998 | 1 | 2.1% | +148.0% | +7543.5% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 3 | 4.6% | +139.0% | +6740.2% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 5.2% | +102.6% | +6806.1% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 3 | 6.3% | +38.2% | +3124.9% |
| Aug 2001 | Aug 2001 | 2 | 6.2% | +37.6% | +2824.6% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 2.3% | +38.4% | +2700.1% |
| Mar 2003 | May 2003 | 8 | 11.9% | +9.6% | +2211.3% |
| Jul 2003 | Aug 2003 | 4 | 5.7% | -11.7% | +2103.2% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 2 | 1.3% | +3.0% | +1996.3% |
| Apr 2004 | Aug 2004 | 19 | 16.1% | +0.6% | +2026.2% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2005 | 8 | 9.9% | +30.7% | +2068.5% |
| Apr 2005 | May 2005 | 4 | 6.5% | +27.4% | +2013.7% |
| May 2005 | Jun 2005 | 1 | 1.0% | +29.7% | +1987.0% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 2 | 2.4% | +56.3% | +1937.2% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 2.7% | -0.7% | +1653.4% |
| Jul 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 1.2% | +3.2% | +1581.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Jun 2009 | 34 | 21.4% | +14.4% | +1686.3% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 3 | 1.9% | +23.2% | +1506.7% |
| Aug 2009 | Oct 2009 | 6 | 2.2% | +52.6% | +1490.7% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 1 | 2.2% | +39.0% | +11.5% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 18+ | 36.4% | Ongoing | -27.7% |
| Average | 8 | — | +38.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INTU below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-15, Intuit Inc. (INTU) is trading 28.6% below its 200-week moving average of $550.10. The current price is $393.00.
What is INTU's 200-week moving average price?
Intuit Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $550.10 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when INTU drops below its 200-week moving average?
INTU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +38.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is INTU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about INTU as of 2026-05-15: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow yield is 4.8%. Return on equity is 23.5%. Price-to-book is 5.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does INTU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.3 years, $100 invested in INTU would have grown to $11834, compared to $2799 for the S&P 500. That's 15.9% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. INTU has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does INTU pay a dividend?
Yes. Intuit Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 118.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15