HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company Technology - IT Infrastructure Investor Relations →
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) closed at $33.10 as of 2026-05-15, trading 86.5% above its 200-week moving average of $17.74. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 77.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 83, HPE is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.22 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 503 weeks of data, HPE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought HPE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.6%.
With a market cap of $43.9 billion, HPE is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.8%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at -0.5%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Share count has increased 2.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 9.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in HPE would have grown to $330, compared to $400 for the S&P 500. HPE has returned 13.0% annualized vs 15.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: HPE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After HPE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying HPE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +40.9% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +23.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +41.6% vs +56.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment HPE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices HPE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where HPE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $18.52 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $20.51 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $22.98 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $26.13 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $30.28 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
HPE has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +34.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 2.3% | +27.3% | +229.8% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 2 | 2.7% | -21.7% | +220.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 49 | 37.2% | +18.9% | +215.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | +33.9% | +184.2% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 7.6% | +44.3% | +200.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Mar 2025 | 1 | 1.2% | +41.9% | +119.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 18.5% | +97.3% | +165.3% |
| Average | 9 | — | +34.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HPE below its 200-week moving average?
No. Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) is currently 86.5% above its 200-week moving average of $17.74. It would need to fall to $17.74 to cross below the line.
What is HPE's 200-week moving average price?
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company's 200-week moving average is $17.74 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when HPE drops below its 200-week moving average?
HPE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +34.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 9 weeks on average.
Is HPE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about HPE as of 2026-05-15: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 83 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 5.8%. Return on equity is -0.5%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does HPE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 9.8 years, $100 invested in HPE would have grown to $330, compared to $400 for the S&P 500. That's 13.0% annualized vs 15.3% for the index. HPE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does HPE pay a dividend?
Yes. Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company currently pays a dividend yield of 172.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15