GS
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Financial Services - Investment Banking Investor Relations →
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) closed at $1065.22 as of 2026-07-17, trading 99.9% above its 200-week moving average of $532.87. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 99.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, GS is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.09 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1371 weeks of data, GS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.5%.
Over the past 26.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GS would have grown to $1656, compared to $816 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.2% vs 8.3% for the index — confirming GS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Growth of $100: GS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying GS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.0% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +9.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.4% vs +23.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. GS currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from GS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
GS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +13.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 9.8% | +41.0% | +2111.5% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 2 | 4.6% | +11.2% | +1789.8% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 5 | 3.9% | +4.4% | +1668.4% |
| Jun 2001 | Nov 2001 | 19 | 22.4% | -14.0% | +1690.9% |
| Jan 2002 | Mar 2002 | 5 | 9.1% | -19.6% | +1691.6% |
| Apr 2002 | Jun 2003 | 61 | 26.9% | -15.7% | +1676.0% |
| Jun 2003 | Jun 2003 | 1 | 2.0% | +16.0% | +1739.1% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 1 | 0.6% | +11.6% | +1683.5% |
| Aug 2004 | Aug 2004 | 2 | 0.4% | +31.0% | +1667.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Jul 2009 | 45 | 66.7% | +14.8% | +838.3% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 2 | 0.5% | +1.5% | +773.2% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 9.6% | +8.9% | +824.6% |
| Apr 2010 | Nov 2010 | 29 | 20.3% | -2.6% | +784.7% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 1.6% | -43.3% | +794.1% |
| Apr 2011 | Dec 2012 | 90 | 37.6% | -24.9% | +808.0% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 14 | 7.7% | +59.4% | +748.1% |
| May 2016 | Aug 2016 | 15 | 12.8% | +44.8% | +727.2% |
| Sep 2016 | Oct 2016 | 2 | 2.6% | +41.7% | +689.4% |
| Nov 2018 | Apr 2019 | 21 | 21.1% | +11.0% | +528.9% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 7 | 9.4% | -6.2% | +524.0% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 2 | 3.4% | +6.8% | +529.4% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 1.0% | +2.0% | +521.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 33.6% | +62.0% | +514.1% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 1.6% | +81.7% | +290.9% |
| Average | 15 | — | +13.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GS below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) is currently 99.9% above its 200-week moving average of $532.87. It would need to fall to $532.87 to cross below the line.
What is GS's 200-week moving average price?
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $532.87 as of 2026-07-17. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GS drops below its 200-week moving average?
GS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is GS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GS as of 2026-07-17: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 75 (overbought). This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.3 years, $100 invested in GS would have grown to $1656, compared to $816 for the S&P 500. That's 11.2% annualized vs 8.3% for the index. GS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-17