GS

The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Financial Services - Investment Banking Investor Relations →

NO
83.8% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 86.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $559.79
14-Week RSI 49
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 0.7x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.04

The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) closed at $1029.18 as of 2026-09-11, trading 83.8% above its 200-week moving average of $559.79. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 86.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1379 weeks of data, GS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.5%.

With a market cap of $299.7 billion, GS is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 16.9%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.8x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.5% over the past three years.

Over the past 26.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GS would have grown to $1608, compared to $838 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.0% vs 8.4% for the index — confirming GS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: GS vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After GS Crosses Below the Line?

Across 24 historical episodes, buying GS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.0% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +9.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.4% vs +23.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. GS currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +0.84σ
Current FCF Yield -13.99%
Baseline Yield -16.84%
Historical σ 1.82pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-07-14$14.54$20.98+44.3%
2026-04-13$16.24$17.55+8.1%
2026-01-15$11.76$14.01+19.1%
2025-10-14$11.09$12.25+10.5%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 36 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

12 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from GS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -0.59σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -2.10σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -0.6pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+70.8pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

GS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +13.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 2000May 200019.8%+41.0%+2047.1%
Nov 2000Dec 200024.6%+11.2%+1734.8%
Mar 2001Apr 200153.9%+4.4%+1616.9%
Jun 2001Nov 20011922.4%-14.0%+1638.8%
Jan 2002Mar 200259.1%-19.6%+1639.5%
Apr 2002Jun 20036126.9%-15.7%+1624.4%
Jun 2003Jun 200312.0%+16.0%+1685.6%
Sep 2003Sep 200310.6%+11.6%+1631.6%
Aug 2004Aug 200420.4%+31.0%+1616.2%
Sep 2008Jul 20094566.7%+14.8%+811.0%
Dec 2009Dec 200920.5%+1.5%+747.8%
Jan 2010Mar 201069.6%+8.9%+797.7%
Apr 2010Nov 20102920.3%-2.6%+759.0%
Nov 2010Nov 201011.6%-43.3%+768.1%
Apr 2011Dec 20129037.6%-24.9%+781.6%
Jan 2016Apr 2016147.7%+59.4%+723.4%
May 2016Aug 20161512.8%+44.8%+703.1%
Sep 2016Oct 201622.6%+41.7%+666.5%
Nov 2018Apr 20192121.1%+11.0%+510.6%
May 2019Jun 201979.4%-6.2%+505.9%
Aug 2019Aug 201923.4%+6.8%+511.1%
Sep 2019Oct 201911.0%+2.0%+503.1%
Feb 2020Nov 20203733.6%+62.0%+496.2%
Oct 2023Oct 202311.6%+81.7%+279.5%
Average15+13.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GS below its 200-week moving average?

No. The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) is currently 83.8% above its 200-week moving average of $559.79. It would need to fall to $559.79 to cross below the line.

What is GS's 200-week moving average price?

The Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $559.79 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when GS drops below its 200-week moving average?

GS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.

Is GS a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about GS as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 49. Return on equity is 16.9%. Price-to-book is 2.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does GS compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 26.5 years, $100 invested in GS would have grown to $1608, compared to $838 for the S&P 500. That's 11.0% annualized vs 8.4% for the index. GS has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does GS pay a dividend?

Yes. The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 194.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-11