GOOG
Alphabet Inc. (Class C) Technology - Internet Services Investor Relations →
Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG) closed at $393.32 as of 2026-05-15, trading 127.0% above its 200-week moving average of $173.23. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 131.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.81 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1086 weeks of data, GOOG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GOOG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +30.8%.
With a market cap of $4.8 trillion, GOOG is a mega-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.6%. Return on equity stands at 38.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 9.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.9% over the past three years. GOOG passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 20.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GOOG would have grown to $5533, compared to $876 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 21.2% vs 10.9% for the index — confirming GOOG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 6.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GOOG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GOOG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying GOOG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.9% after 12 months (median +31.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +64.4% vs +37.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GOOG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices GOOG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where GOOG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $112.46 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $124.31 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $138.94 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $157.48 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $181.73 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
GOOG has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +30.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2009 | 44 | 39.1% | +25.2% | +4015.0% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 1 | 2.2% | +11.0% | +3272.8% |
| Jun 2010 | Sep 2010 | 12 | 10.2% | +0.5% | +3268.3% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 2 | 6.0% | +16.4% | +3182.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 2.7% | +37.9% | +3143.2% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 1 | 7.4% | +50.4% | +357.4% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 6 | 7.6% | +46.8% | +326.1% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 5 | 7.6% | +58.4% | +318.0% |
| Average | 9 | — | +30.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GOOG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG) is currently 127.0% above its 200-week moving average of $173.23. It would need to fall to $173.23 to cross below the line.
What is GOOG's 200-week moving average price?
Alphabet Inc. (Class C)'s 200-week moving average is $173.23 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GOOG drops below its 200-week moving average?
GOOG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +30.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 9 weeks on average.
Is GOOG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GOOG as of 2026-05-15: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow yield is 0.6%. Return on equity is 38.9%. Price-to-book is 9.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GOOG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.9 years, $100 invested in GOOG would have grown to $5533, compared to $876 for the S&P 500. That's 21.2% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. GOOG has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does GOOG pay a dividend?
Yes. Alphabet Inc. (Class C) currently pays a dividend yield of 22.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15