GME
GameStop Corp. Consumer Discretionary - Retail Investor Relations →
GameStop Corp. (GME) closed at $21.59 as of 2026-05-15, trading 3.9% below its 200-week moving average of $22.47. This places GME in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 7.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1217 weeks of data, GME has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 34 weeks. Historically, investors who bought GME at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +125.3%.
With a market cap of $9.7 billion, GME is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 8.1%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Share count has increased 47.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 23.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in GME would have grown to $3018, compared to $1315 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.7% vs 11.6% for the index — confirming GME as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 5 open-market purchases totaling $22,116,126. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while GME is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 125.2% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: GME vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After GME Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying GME when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +127.9% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +19.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +137.5% vs +34.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment GME crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices GME would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where GME's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $21.66 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $22.74 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $23.94 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $25.26 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $26.75 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
GME has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +125.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2003 | Aug 2003 | 30 | 56.0% | +80.6% | +2626.1% |
| Oct 2003 | Oct 2003 | 1 | 0.6% | +19.9% | +1496.3% |
| Nov 2003 | Jan 2004 | 8 | 9.0% | +45.3% | +1486.4% |
| May 2004 | Aug 2004 | 13 | 10.6% | +81.9% | +1565.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Sep 2012 | 205 | 48.2% | -7.4% | +340.8% |
| Sep 2012 | Oct 2012 | 1 | 4.7% | +144.6% | +494.0% |
| Nov 2015 | Oct 2020 | 253 | 80.3% | -23.5% | +239.5% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 3 | 7.6% | +1652.7% | +724.8% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 16.1% | -5.0% | +17.0% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 6 | 19.0% | -23.9% | +12.0% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 4 | 8.6% | -49.1% | +5.4% |
| Jul 2023 | Jun 2024 | 46 | 58.6% | +12.6% | -2.7% |
| Jun 2024 | Nov 2024 | 23 | 26.1% | -2.0% | -9.8% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 1 | 0.2% | -24.2% | -22.9% |
| Jan 2025 | Apr 2025 | 13 | 19.5% | -23.3% | -21.5% |
| Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | 13 | 14.3% | N/A | -2.5% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 16 | 14.2% | N/A | -7.3% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 2 | 3.0% | N/A | -4.3% |
| May 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 3.9% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 34 | — | +125.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GME below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-15, GameStop Corp. (GME) is trading 3.9% below its 200-week moving average of $22.47. The current price is $21.59.
What is GME's 200-week moving average price?
GameStop Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $22.47 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when GME drops below its 200-week moving average?
GME has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +125.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 34 weeks on average.
Is GME a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about GME as of 2026-05-15: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 8.1%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does GME compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 23.4 years, $100 invested in GME would have grown to $3018, compared to $1315 for the S&P 500. That's 15.7% annualized vs 11.6% for the index. GME has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15