FIVE
Five Below Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Discount Retail Investor Relations →
Five Below Inc. (FIVE) closed at $227.42 as of 2026-03-20, trading 52.6% above its 200-week moving average of $149.03. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 41.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, FIVE is in overbought territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 665 weeks of data, FIVE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought FIVE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.2%.
With a market cap of $12.5 billion, FIVE is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.8%. Return on equity stands at 17.9%, a solid level. The stock trades at 5.7x book value.
Over the past 12.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in FIVE would have grown to $617, compared to $506 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.2% vs 13.5% for the index — confirming FIVE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 39% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: FIVE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After FIVE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying FIVE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.1% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +16.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +73.0% vs +25.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment FIVE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
FIVE has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +22.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2014 | Feb 2014 | 6 | 8.4% | -10.7% | +497.8% |
| Mar 2014 | Mar 2014 | 1 | 3.8% | -15.5% | +518.2% |
| Apr 2014 | Apr 2014 | 1 | 0.1% | -7.7% | +494.3% |
| May 2014 | Jun 2014 | 6 | 8.1% | -8.9% | +503.1% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 6 | 7.3% | +8.3% | +522.9% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 1.1% | -8.8% | +499.3% |
| Dec 2014 | Jun 2015 | 26 | 23.8% | -21.7% | +504.7% |
| Jul 2015 | Feb 2016 | 31 | 26.0% | +35.8% | +504.0% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 | 8.4% | +47.9% | +508.6% |
| Dec 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 4.7% | +76.3% | +512.2% |
| Jan 2017 | Feb 2017 | 2 | 3.4% | +78.2% | +504.8% |
| Feb 2017 | Mar 2017 | 3 | 1.3% | +75.4% | +491.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 7 | 36.6% | +149.2% | +197.0% |
| May 2022 | Oct 2022 | 23 | 21.2% | +61.8% | +93.5% |
| Sep 2023 | Sep 2023 | 2 | 7.4% | -39.3% | +43.0% |
| Apr 2024 | Sep 2025 | 76 | 63.8% | -65.1% | +39.7% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 5.6% | N/A | +64.2% |
| Average | 12 | — | +22.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIVE below its 200-week moving average?
No. Five Below Inc. (FIVE) is currently 52.6% above its 200-week moving average of $149.03. It would need to fall to $149.03 to cross below the line.
What is FIVE's 200-week moving average price?
Five Below Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $149.03 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when FIVE drops below its 200-week moving average?
FIVE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is FIVE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about FIVE as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 76 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 2.8%. Return on equity is 17.9%. Price-to-book is 5.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does FIVE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 12.8 years, $100 invested in FIVE would have grown to $617, compared to $506 for the S&P 500. That's 15.2% annualized vs 13.5% for the index. FIVE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20