ETSY
Etsy Inc. Consumer Discretionary - E-Commerce Investor Relations →
Etsy Inc. (ETSY) closed at $52.84 as of 2026-03-20, trading 28.6% below its 200-week moving average of $73.99. This places ETSY in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -29.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.15 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 522 weeks of data, ETSY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ETSY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +114.6%.
With a market cap of $5.2 billion, ETSY is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.9%, which is notably high. The stock trades at -4.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 22.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 10.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ETSY would have grown to $610, compared to $373 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.6% vs 14.0% for the index — confirming ETSY as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ETSY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ETSY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying ETSY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +80.1% after 12 months (median +42.0%), compared to +24.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +194.1% vs +42.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ETSY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ETSY has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +114.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2016 | Aug 2016 | 19 | 36.3% | +11.6% | +497.1% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | 7.6% | +44.9% | +361.5% |
| Nov 2016 | Jan 2017 | 5 | 4.9% | +42.3% | +346.7% |
| Feb 2017 | May 2017 | 11 | 21.4% | +152.3% | +418.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 5.1% | +579.7% | +66.7% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2022 | 32 | 37.3% | +3.7% | -46.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 2 | 2.5% | -32.3% | -55.9% |
| Feb 2023 | Ongoing | 161+ | 60.2% | Ongoing | -57.4% |
| Average | 29 | — | +114.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETSY below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Etsy Inc. (ETSY) is trading 28.6% below its 200-week moving average of $73.99. The current price is $52.84.
What is ETSY's 200-week moving average price?
Etsy Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $73.99 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ETSY drops below its 200-week moving average?
ETSY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +114.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is ETSY a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ETSY as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 9.9%. Price-to-book is -4.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ETSY compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.1 years, $100 invested in ETSY would have grown to $610, compared to $373 for the S&P 500. That's 19.6% annualized vs 14.0% for the index. ETSY has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20