EDU
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Education Investor Relations →
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) closed at $50.90 as of 2026-05-15, trading 5.4% below its 200-week moving average of $53.82. This places EDU in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -1.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 978 weeks of data, EDU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought EDU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.1%.
With a market cap of $8.5 billion, EDU is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 10.8%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.9% over the past three years.
Over the past 18.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in EDU would have grown to $419, compared to $708 for the S&P 500. EDU has returned 7.9% annualized vs 11.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: EDU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After EDU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying EDU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.6% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +16.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +86.6% vs +30.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment EDU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices EDU would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where EDU's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-02-28).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $47.40 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $50.83 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $54.78 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $59.41 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $64.89 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
EDU has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +27.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2008 | May 2009 | 33 | 27.8% | +56.2% | +319.4% |
| Jul 2012 | May 2013 | 45 | 48.3% | +80.6% | +329.7% |
| Jun 2013 | Jul 2013 | 3 | 4.3% | +21.5% | +145.8% |
| Jul 2013 | Sep 2013 | 7 | 6.0% | -10.3% | +146.7% |
| May 2014 | May 2014 | 1 | 0.6% | +5.3% | +126.9% |
| Jul 2014 | Mar 2015 | 36 | 21.6% | +17.8% | +175.1% |
| Jul 2015 | Oct 2015 | 11 | 15.1% | +100.7% | +138.3% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 3.9% | +125.0% | -1.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 7.8% | +140.5% | +1.1% |
| May 2021 | Nov 2023 | 130 | 89.6% | -88.3% | -49.2% |
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2023 | 2 | 3.7% | -14.4% | -27.8% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 6.9% | -24.8% | -13.2% |
| Aug 2024 | Sep 2024 | 3 | 2.5% | -21.2% | -15.4% |
| Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 0.1% | -4.7% | -7.9% |
| Jan 2025 | Feb 2025 | 3 | 7.0% | +23.4% | +10.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 6.2% | +26.4% | +15.4% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 2 | 4.5% | N/A | +15.3% |
| Apr 2026 | Ongoing | 4+ | 5.4% | Ongoing | -0.4% |
| Average | 16 | — | +27.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EDU below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-15, New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) is trading 5.4% below its 200-week moving average of $53.82. The current price is $50.90.
What is EDU's 200-week moving average price?
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $53.82 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when EDU drops below its 200-week moving average?
EDU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is EDU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about EDU as of 2026-05-15: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow yield is 7.3%. Return on equity is 10.8%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does EDU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.8 years, $100 invested in EDU would have grown to $419, compared to $708 for the S&P 500. That's 7.9% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. EDU has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does EDU pay a dividend?
Yes. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 236.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15