CVS

CVS Health Corporation Healthcare - Pharmacy & Healthcare Investor Relations →

NO
4.7% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 11.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $68.24
14-Week RSI 40
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.6x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.75

CVS Health Corporation (CVS) closed at $71.48 as of 2026-03-20, trading 4.7% above its 200-week moving average of $68.24. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 11.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.75 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2721 weeks of data, CVS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CVS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.9%.

With a market cap of $90.9 billion, CVS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 2.3%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CVS would have grown to $1160, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. CVS has returned 7.7% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -16.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: CVS vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After CVS Crosses Below the Line?

Across 23 historical episodes, buying CVS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.5% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.7% vs +20.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CVS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Advertisement

Historical Touches

CVS has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +21.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1974Apr 19756266.1%-2.4%+29875.4%
Jul 1975Aug 197547.2%+60.5%+21461.3%
Sep 1975Sep 197510.3%+61.7%+21273.8%
Nov 1979Nov 197910.2%+39.2%+11660.7%
Dec 1979Jan 198010.8%+37.8%+11660.7%
Feb 1980Apr 198088.1%+74.0%+12189.9%
Nov 1987Dec 1987410.0%+43.2%+2692.7%
Oct 1990Nov 199068.3%+32.8%+1696.9%
Nov 1991Dec 199153.9%+36.1%+1437.3%
Jul 1993Jul 199311.2%-7.8%+1246.3%
Sep 1993Oct 199341.3%-11.1%+1246.5%
Oct 1993Apr 199612929.1%-19.8%+1254.2%
Dec 1999Dec 199913.3%+83.1%+610.7%
Feb 2000Mar 2000210.5%+99.4%+641.6%
Jul 2000Aug 200010.6%+0.1%+523.1%
Jun 2001Nov 200312546.4%-20.2%+481.3%
Dec 2003Jan 200463.7%+31.5%+527.8%
Mar 2004Apr 200442.4%+50.7%+522.0%
Sep 2008Jul 20094225.1%+11.8%+234.7%
Nov 2009Jan 2010910.6%+5.0%+254.4%
Jan 2010Feb 201047.3%+7.7%+217.6%
May 2010Dec 20102818.4%+13.8%+210.9%
Jan 2011Mar 201173.0%+35.1%+218.6%
Aug 2011Aug 201123.1%+37.2%+210.9%
Nov 2016Nov 201915632.9%-3.0%+27.1%
Jan 2020Feb 202012.5%+9.0%+28.1%
Feb 2020Nov 20203620.3%+18.8%+46.8%
Mar 2023Dec 20234014.6%+7.7%+7.9%
Jan 2024Feb 202455.0%-34.7%+2.3%
Feb 2024Mar 202424.1%-6.9%+5.1%
Apr 2024Aug 20257240.9%-10.8%+4.0%
Average25+21.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CVS below its 200-week moving average?

No. CVS Health Corporation (CVS) is currently 4.7% above its 200-week moving average of $68.24. It would need to fall to $68.24 to cross below the line.

What is CVS's 200-week moving average price?

CVS Health Corporation's 200-week moving average is $68.24 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when CVS drops below its 200-week moving average?

CVS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +21.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.

Is CVS a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about CVS as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 40. Free cash flow yield is 6.5%. Return on equity is 2.3%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does CVS compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in CVS would have grown to $1160, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 7.7% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. CVS has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does CVS pay a dividend?

Yes. CVS Health Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 372.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-03-20