CSCO
Cisco Systems Inc. Technology - Networking Investor Relations →
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) closed at $77.65 as of 2026-03-20, trading 46.3% above its 200-week moving average of $53.09. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 48.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.1x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1835 weeks of data, CSCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CSCO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.6%.
With a market cap of $306.8 billion, CSCO is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.3%. Return on equity stands at 23.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.4x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CSCO would have grown to $9763, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.8% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming CSCO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 1.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CSCO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CSCO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying CSCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.8% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +12.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +14.8% vs +22.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CSCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CSCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +11.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2001 | Jan 2004 | 153 | 71.4% | -40.5% | +325.7% |
| Jan 2004 | Mar 2004 | 9 | 8.6% | -30.4% | +366.8% |
| Apr 2004 | May 2004 | 7 | 10.6% | -23.5% | +433.8% |
| Aug 2004 | Oct 2004 | 12 | 11.9% | -3.2% | +502.1% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2005 | 5 | 4.4% | +4.9% | +570.4% |
| Mar 2005 | May 2005 | 7 | 4.1% | +21.5% | +574.2% |
| Aug 2005 | Sep 2005 | 4 | 4.0% | +9.8% | +574.2% |
| Sep 2005 | Jan 2006 | 15 | 5.7% | +26.8% | +564.9% |
| Jul 2006 | Aug 2006 | 4 | 8.7% | +66.6% | +568.9% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 4 | 4.9% | -15.9% | +450.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2008 | 1 | 3.0% | -1.9% | +439.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2009 | 49 | 37.8% | +6.7% | +464.7% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 2 | 1.6% | -2.3% | +430.5% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 1.5% | +0.2% | +426.1% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 4.0% | -9.8% | +422.4% |
| May 2010 | Feb 2012 | 91 | 32.4% | -29.3% | +411.5% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 2 | 1.6% | +7.9% | +498.5% |
| Apr 2012 | Sep 2012 | 18 | 18.9% | +12.0% | +516.2% |
| Sep 2012 | Dec 2012 | 11 | 12.9% | +33.6% | +520.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | 8.4% | +34.3% | +146.8% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 9 | 11.0% | +49.8% | +129.0% |
| May 2022 | Aug 2022 | 12 | 8.7% | +18.3% | +102.1% |
| Aug 2022 | Nov 2022 | 12 | 13.9% | +25.4% | +87.4% |
| May 2024 | Jun 2024 | 4 | 2.7% | +40.0% | +75.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 1.0% | +53.2% | +74.5% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 2 | 3.3% | +47.8% | +72.9% |
| Average | 17 | — | +11.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSCO below its 200-week moving average?
No. Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) is currently 46.3% above its 200-week moving average of $53.09. It would need to fall to $53.09 to cross below the line.
What is CSCO's 200-week moving average price?
Cisco Systems Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $53.09 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CSCO drops below its 200-week moving average?
CSCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +11.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is CSCO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CSCO as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 50. Free cash flow yield is 3.3%. Return on equity is 23.8%. Price-to-book is 6.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CSCO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in CSCO would have grown to $9763, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 14.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. CSCO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CSCO pay a dividend?
Yes. Cisco Systems Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 216.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20