CROX
Crocs Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Footwear Investor Relations →
Crocs Inc. (CROX) closed at $75.78 as of 2026-03-20, trading 26.5% below its 200-week moving average of $103.08. This places CROX in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -24.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.94 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1001 weeks of data, CROX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 36 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CROX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +54.0%.
With a market cap of $3.9 billion, CROX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -5.2%. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 18.6% over the past three years.
Over the past 19.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CROX would have grown to $277, compared to $644 for the S&P 500. CROX has returned 5.4% annualized vs 10.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 9.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CROX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CROX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying CROX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.0% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +13.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.6% vs +36.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CROX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
CROX has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +54.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 0.3% | -95.4% | +161.9% |
| Feb 2008 | Nov 2010 | 144 | 95.6% | -95.5% | +198.0% |
| Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 2 | 2.9% | +14.3% | +374.5% |
| Oct 2012 | Dec 2012 | 8 | 10.4% | +7.5% | +495.3% |
| Jul 2013 | Dec 2017 | 229 | 49.5% | +18.4% | +451.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 38.5% | +616.9% | +603.6% |
| May 2022 | Jul 2022 | 10 | 20.5% | +97.8% | +29.9% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 2.0% | +68.7% | -8.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 2 | 6.5% | +26.5% | -9.7% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 1 | 1.5% | +28.2% | -12.4% |
| Oct 2024 | Dec 2024 | 5 | 9.4% | -23.1% | -28.7% |
| Jan 2025 | May 2025 | 16 | 17.3% | -16.9% | -24.2% |
| May 2025 | Ongoing | 44+ | 29.7% | Ongoing | -30.0% |
| Average | 36 | — | +54.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CROX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Crocs Inc. (CROX) is trading 26.5% below its 200-week moving average of $103.08. The current price is $75.78.
What is CROX's 200-week moving average price?
Crocs Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $103.08 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CROX drops below its 200-week moving average?
CROX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +54.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 36 weeks on average.
Is CROX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CROX as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow yield is 11.3%. Return on equity is -5.2%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CROX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19.2 years, $100 invested in CROX would have grown to $277, compared to $644 for the S&P 500. That's 5.4% annualized vs 10.2% for the index. CROX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20