CI
The Cigna Group Healthcare - Insurance Investor Relations →
The Cigna Group (CI) closed at $285.27 as of 2026-05-15, trading 2.2% below its 200-week moving average of $291.63. This places CI in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -1.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2254 weeks of data, CI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought CI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.7%.
With a market cap of $75.5 billion, CI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 16.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in CI would have grown to $6140, compared to $3058 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.1% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming CI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: CI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After CI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying CI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.7% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +9.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.5% vs +22.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment CI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices CI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where CI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $251.81 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $261.14 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $271.20 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $282.05 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $293.82 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
CI has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +12.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1983 | Aug 1983 | 5 | 4.4% | -21.7% | +15767.4% |
| Jan 1984 | Mar 1984 | 6 | 4.4% | +21.7% | +15656.3% |
| Apr 1984 | Oct 1984 | 30 | 29.0% | +29.0% | +15493.5% |
| Nov 1987 | Sep 1988 | 41 | 17.7% | +3.9% | +10732.0% |
| Oct 1988 | Jan 1989 | 13 | 8.4% | +33.8% | +9599.3% |
| Jan 1990 | Feb 1990 | 5 | 7.0% | -6.7% | +9118.9% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 4 | 7.2% | +23.6% | +9219.3% |
| Jul 1990 | Feb 1991 | 29 | 25.7% | -1.1% | +9067.4% |
| Jul 1991 | Sep 1991 | 7 | 4.7% | +34.6% | +9653.7% |
| Mar 2000 | Mar 2000 | 1 | 0.3% | +71.4% | +1528.4% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 8 | 7.8% | -7.6% | +1160.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Nov 2004 | 123 | 59.1% | -48.6% | +1113.4% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 7 | 15.0% | -30.0% | +774.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2010 | 113 | 78.2% | -24.7% | +694.3% |
| Mar 2019 | Jul 2019 | 14 | 9.1% | +0.3% | +95.0% |
| Aug 2019 | Oct 2019 | 9 | 9.3% | +13.8% | +94.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 17.1% | +71.9% | +120.7% |
| Jul 2020 | Jul 2020 | 1 | 0.2% | +34.9% | +78.6% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 2.3% | +34.0% | +81.6% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 9.0% | +21.9% | +85.1% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 2 | 7.7% | N/A | +10.6% |
| Sep 2025 | Sep 2025 | 1 | 0.1% | N/A | +0.8% |
| Oct 2025 | Feb 2026 | 14 | 15.4% | N/A | +18.0% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 13+ | 9.8% | Ongoing | +2.3% |
| Average | 19 | — | +12.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CI below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-15, The Cigna Group (CI) is trading 2.2% below its 200-week moving average of $291.63. The current price is $285.27.
What is CI's 200-week moving average price?
The Cigna Group's 200-week moving average is $291.63 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when CI drops below its 200-week moving average?
CI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is CI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about CI as of 2026-05-15: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 47. Free cash flow yield is 9.2%. Return on equity is 16.3%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does CI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.4 years, $100 invested in CI would have grown to $6140, compared to $3058 for the S&P 500. That's 13.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. CI has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does CI pay a dividend?
Yes. The Cigna Group currently pays a dividend yield of 219.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15