BX
Blackstone Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
Blackstone Inc. (BX) closed at $117.89 as of 2026-05-15, trading 0.7% below its 200-week moving average of $118.76. This places BX in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 3.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.08 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 938 weeks of data, BX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.7%.
With a market cap of $144.1 billion, BX is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 29.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 11.1x book value.
Share count has increased 5.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 18.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BX would have grown to $1594, compared to $734 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.5% vs 11.7% for the index — confirming BX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 6 open-market purchases totaling $4,219,395. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while BX is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -9.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying BX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.3% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +14.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 90% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +52.4% vs +27.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2025-12-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $63.63 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $70.48 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $78.98 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $89.81 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $104.08 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
BX has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +29.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2008 | Oct 2009 | 71 | 75.3% | -39.0% | +1494.1% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 4.3% | +6.5% | +1928.7% |
| Nov 2009 | Jan 2010 | 6 | 4.4% | +3.3% | +1928.7% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 4 | 11.5% | +31.0% | +1991.3% |
| May 2010 | Oct 2010 | 22 | 29.4% | +52.7% | +2044.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 7 | 6.0% | +20.8% | +2008.0% |
| May 2012 | May 2012 | 1 | 2.9% | +114.0% | +1963.4% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 5.7% | +41.1% | +639.9% |
| Sep 2016 | Nov 2016 | 9 | 10.6% | +35.3% | +606.1% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 1.0% | +31.3% | +591.6% |
| Feb 2026 | Apr 2026 | 7 | 10.0% | N/A | +5.0% |
| May 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 0.7% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 11 | — | +29.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-15, Blackstone Inc. (BX) is trading 0.7% below its 200-week moving average of $118.76. The current price is $117.89.
What is BX's 200-week moving average price?
Blackstone Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $118.76 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BX drops below its 200-week moving average?
BX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +29.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is BX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BX as of 2026-05-15: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 43. Return on equity is 29.5%. Price-to-book is 11.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.1 years, $100 invested in BX would have grown to $1594, compared to $734 for the S&P 500. That's 16.5% annualized vs 11.7% for the index. BX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BX pay a dividend?
Yes. Blackstone Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 422.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15