BURL
Burlington Stores Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Retail Investor Relations →
Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) closed at $310.38 as of 2026-03-20, trading 42.8% above its 200-week moving average of $217.36. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 37.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 602 weeks of data, BURL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BURL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.3%.
With a market cap of $19.5 billion, BURL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.5%. Return on equity stands at 38.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.7x book value.
Over the past 11.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BURL would have grown to $783, compared to $402 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.4% vs 12.8% for the index — confirming BURL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BURL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BURL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying BURL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.0% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.5% vs +37.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BURL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BURL has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +8.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2022 | Jan 2023 | 44 | 48.7% | +14.0% | +63.6% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2024 | 53 | 46.3% | -4.8% | +43.6% |
| Apr 2024 | May 2024 | 8 | 16.5% | +15.8% | +55.3% |
| Average | 35 | — | +8.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BURL below its 200-week moving average?
No. Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) is currently 42.8% above its 200-week moving average of $217.36. It would need to fall to $217.36 to cross below the line.
What is BURL's 200-week moving average price?
Burlington Stores Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $217.36 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BURL drops below its 200-week moving average?
BURL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 35 weeks on average.
Is BURL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BURL as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow yield is 0.5%. Return on equity is 38.4%. Price-to-book is 10.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BURL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.6 years, $100 invested in BURL would have grown to $783, compared to $402 for the S&P 500. That's 19.4% annualized vs 12.8% for the index. BURL has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20