BLK
BlackRock Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
BlackRock Inc. (BLK) closed at $1081.90 as of 2026-05-15, trading 30.5% above its 200-week moving average of $828.95. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 31.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1341 weeks of data, BLK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BLK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.0%.
With a market cap of $167.9 billion, BLK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.2%. Return on equity stands at 11.9%. The stock trades at 3.0x book value.
Share count has increased 3.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 25.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BLK would have grown to $5681, compared to $815 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.0% vs 8.5% for the index — confirming BLK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BLK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BLK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying BLK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.3% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +22.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 92% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +56.4% vs +44.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BLK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BLK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BLK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2025-12-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $920.45 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $969.68 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $1024.47 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $1085.82 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $1154.99 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
BLK has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +34.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 26 | 36.6% | +103.1% | +1344.8% |
| May 2009 | May 2009 | 2 | 4.6% | +22.6% | +1078.3% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 20 | 17.3% | +17.5% | +861.4% |
| Oct 2010 | Oct 2010 | 1 | 1.9% | -5.3% | +861.1% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 2 | 3.8% | -3.0% | +853.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Dec 2011 | 18 | 14.9% | +10.8% | +876.9% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 1 | 1.6% | +73.1% | +825.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.1% | +22.6% | +237.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 4.7% | +34.4% | +239.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 15.6% | +77.2% | +201.7% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 0.9% | +24.2% | +103.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 5 | 8.8% | +14.9% | +99.1% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 9.7% | +50.0% | +77.0% |
| Average | 7 | — | +34.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLK below its 200-week moving average?
No. BlackRock Inc. (BLK) is currently 30.5% above its 200-week moving average of $828.95. It would need to fall to $828.95 to cross below the line.
What is BLK's 200-week moving average price?
BlackRock Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $828.95 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BLK drops below its 200-week moving average?
BLK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +34.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 7 weeks on average.
Is BLK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BLK as of 2026-05-15: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 54. Free cash flow yield is 4.2%. Return on equity is 11.9%. Price-to-book is 3.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BLK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.8 years, $100 invested in BLK would have grown to $5681, compared to $815 for the S&P 500. That's 17.0% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. BLK has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BLK pay a dividend?
Yes. BlackRock Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 212.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15