BLK
BlackRock Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
BlackRock Inc. (BLK) closed at $1079.65 as of 2026-09-11, trading 25.4% above its 200-week moving average of $861.10. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 29.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1358 weeks of data, BLK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BLK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.0%.
With a market cap of $175.4 billion, BLK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.3%. Return on equity stands at 12.3%. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Share count has increased 3.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 26.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BLK would have grown to $5730, compared to $843 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.8% vs 8.5% for the index — confirming BLK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BLK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BLK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying BLK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.3% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +22.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 92% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +56.3% vs +44.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BLK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BLK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BLK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-14.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $1001.30 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $1040.98 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $1083.94 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $1130.59 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $1181.44 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | $12.69 | $13.91 | +9.6% |
| 2026-04-14 | $11.46 | $12.53 | +9.3% |
| 2026-01-15 | $12.19 | $13.16 | +7.9% |
| 2025-10-14 | $11.29 | $11.55 | +2.3% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BLK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BLK has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +34.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 26 | 36.1% | +103.1% | +1357.3% |
| May 2009 | May 2009 | 2 | 4.6% | +22.6% | +1088.6% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 20 | 17.4% | +17.5% | +869.8% |
| Oct 2010 | Oct 2010 | 1 | 1.9% | -5.3% | +869.4% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 2 | 3.9% | -3.0% | +861.3% |
| Aug 2011 | Dec 2011 | 18 | 14.9% | +10.8% | +885.4% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 1 | 1.7% | +73.1% | +833.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 0.2% | +22.6% | +240.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 4.8% | +34.4% | +242.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 15.7% | +77.2% | +204.3% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 1.0% | +24.2% | +105.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 5 | 8.8% | +14.9% | +100.9% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 9.7% | +50.0% | +78.5% |
| Average | 7 | — | +34.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLK below its 200-week moving average?
No. BlackRock Inc. (BLK) is currently 25.4% above its 200-week moving average of $861.10. It would need to fall to $861.10 to cross below the line.
What is BLK's 200-week moving average price?
BlackRock Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $861.10 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BLK drops below its 200-week moving average?
BLK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +34.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 7 weeks on average.
Is BLK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BLK as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 59. Free cash flow yield is 4.3%. Return on equity is 12.3%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BLK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.1 years, $100 invested in BLK would have grown to $5730, compared to $843 for the S&P 500. That's 16.8% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. BLK has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BLK pay a dividend?
Yes. BlackRock Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 216.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11