BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited Consumer Discretionary - E-Commerce Investor Relations →
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) closed at $122.41 as of 2026-03-20, trading 23.1% above its 200-week moving average of $99.43. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 36.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 552 weeks of data, BABA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 116 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -9.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $292.2 billion, BABA is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 8.2%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 10.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BABA would have grown to $202, compared to $392 for the S&P 500. BABA has returned 6.8% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BABA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BABA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 2 historical episodes, buying BABA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.5% after 12 months (median +55.0%), compared to +3.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +59.0% vs +19.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BABA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BABA has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +-9.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2015 | Aug 2016 | 49 | 33.0% | +35.7% | +84.0% |
| Jul 2021 | Feb 2025 | 184 | 64.9% | -54.2% | -34.0% |
| Average | 116 | — | +-9.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BABA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) is currently 23.1% above its 200-week moving average of $99.43. It would need to fall to $99.43 to cross below the line.
What is BABA's 200-week moving average price?
Alibaba Group Holding Limited's 200-week moving average is $99.43 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BABA drops below its 200-week moving average?
BABA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -9.2%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 116 weeks on average.
Is BABA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BABA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 8.2%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BABA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.7 years, $100 invested in BABA would have grown to $202, compared to $392 for the S&P 500. That's 6.8% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. BABA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BABA pay a dividend?
Yes. Alibaba Group Holding Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 86.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20