AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) closed at $361.99 as of 2026-09-11, trading 81.7% above its 200-week moving average of $199.18. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 81.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 844 weeks of data, AVGO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 1 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AVGO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +115.2%.
With a market cap of $1.7 trillion, AVGO is a mega-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.8%. Return on equity stands at 44.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.3x book value.
Share count has increased 13.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 16.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AVGO would have grown to $23702, compared to $920 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 40.0% vs 14.6% for the index — confirming AVGO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AVGO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AVGO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 2 historical episodes, buying AVGO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +78.5% after 12 months (median +111.0%), compared to +28.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +121.5% vs +55.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AVGO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AVGO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AVGO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-12-09.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $337.23 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $354.32 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $373.24 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $394.30 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $417.88 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | $3.24 | $3.32 | +2.5% |
| 2026-06-03 | $2.40 | $2.44 | +1.7% |
| 2026-03-04 | $2.02 | $2.05 | +1.3% |
| 2025-12-11 | $1.87 | $1.95 | +4.4% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AVGO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AVGO has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +115.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2010 | Sep 2010 | 1 | 0.8% | +74.6% | +27555.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 14.6% | +155.8% | +2060.3% |
| Average | 1 | — | +115.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVGO below its 200-week moving average?
No. Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) is currently 81.7% above its 200-week moving average of $199.18. It would need to fall to $199.18 to cross below the line.
What is AVGO's 200-week moving average price?
Broadcom Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $199.18 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AVGO drops below its 200-week moving average?
AVGO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +115.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 1 weeks on average.
Is AVGO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AVGO as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow yield is 1.8%. Return on equity is 44.2%. Price-to-book is 17.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AVGO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 16.2 years, $100 invested in AVGO would have grown to $23702, compared to $920 for the S&P 500. That's 40.0% annualized vs 14.6% for the index. AVGO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AVGO pay a dividend?
Yes. Broadcom Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 72.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11