APO
Apollo Global Management, Inc. Financial Services Investor Relations →
Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) closed at $135.38 as of 2026-05-15, trading 28.5% above its 200-week moving average of $105.35. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 27.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 741 weeks of data, APO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought APO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +51.3%.
With a market cap of $78.0 billion, APO is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 8.5%. The stock trades at 4.2x book value.
Over the past 14.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in APO would have grown to $2253, compared to $674 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 24.4% vs 14.3% for the index — confirming APO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 24.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: APO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After APO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying APO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +53.5% after 12 months (median +57.0%), compared to +23.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +123.8% vs +46.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment APO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices APO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where APO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $77.55 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $87.84 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $101.27 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $119.56 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $145.90 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Historical Touches
APO has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +51.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2012 | Jul 2012 | 16 | 22.8% | +104.4% | +2272.9% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 2 | 2.4% | +9.4% | +1105.1% |
| Oct 2015 | Nov 2016 | 54 | 27.4% | +7.4% | +1066.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.5% | +84.0% | +485.5% |
| Average | 18 | — | +51.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APO below its 200-week moving average?
No. Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is currently 28.5% above its 200-week moving average of $105.35. It would need to fall to $105.35 to cross below the line.
What is APO's 200-week moving average price?
Apollo Global Management, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $105.35 as of 2026-05-15. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when APO drops below its 200-week moving average?
APO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +51.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is APO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about APO as of 2026-05-15: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Return on equity is 8.5%. Price-to-book is 4.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does APO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.2 years, $100 invested in APO would have grown to $2253, compared to $674 for the S&P 500. That's 24.4% annualized vs 14.3% for the index. APO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does APO pay a dividend?
Yes. Apollo Global Management, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 166.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-15