ADSK
Autodesk, Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) closed at $247.99 as of 2026-03-20, trading 1.5% above its 200-week moving average of $244.32. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 2.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 31, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.99 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2077 weeks of data, ADSK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ADSK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.5%.
With a market cap of $52.6 billion, ADSK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 39.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.3x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ADSK would have grown to $4558, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.2% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming ADSK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ADSK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ADSK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying ADSK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.7% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +8.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +71.1% vs +24.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ADSK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ADSK has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +31.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1991 | Jul 1992 | 38 | 37.1% | +39.9% | +5576.4% |
| Mar 1993 | May 1993 | 7 | 5.5% | +40.0% | +4964.8% |
| Jul 1993 | Aug 1993 | 4 | 5.2% | +29.1% | +5122.9% |
| Oct 1993 | Dec 1993 | 7 | 10.3% | +61.3% | +4897.8% |
| Jun 1996 | Jan 1997 | 30 | 29.5% | +33.5% | +3431.0% |
| Feb 1997 | Feb 1997 | 1 | 1.4% | +42.5% | +3378.6% |
| Apr 1997 | Apr 1997 | 1 | 4.9% | +43.6% | +3452.2% |
| Dec 1997 | Dec 1997 | 2 | 2.6% | +26.0% | +2980.1% |
| Jun 1998 | Nov 1998 | 21 | 33.8% | -12.6% | +2926.5% |
| Apr 1999 | Feb 2000 | 44 | 46.0% | +61.8% | +3498.5% |
| Jun 2000 | Jan 2001 | 29 | 41.6% | +0.5% | +2902.0% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 5 | 12.4% | +34.0% | +2932.3% |
| May 2001 | Jun 2001 | 3 | 5.9% | -13.9% | +2921.7% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 3.6% | -19.9% | +3082.6% |
| May 2002 | Mar 2003 | 46 | 28.0% | +11.1% | +3287.6% |
| Apr 2003 | May 2003 | 2 | 0.9% | +127.9% | +3131.8% |
| May 2003 | Jun 2003 | 3 | 5.1% | +118.2% | +3266.8% |
| Jul 2003 | Aug 2003 | 5 | 6.9% | +150.1% | +3170.3% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 8 | 15.8% | -59.2% | +697.7% |
| Jun 2008 | Apr 2010 | 96 | 67.9% | -44.3% | +572.4% |
| May 2010 | Oct 2010 | 23 | 25.2% | +47.4% | +725.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 24.3% | +13.1% | +702.0% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 2.1% | +64.4% | +463.6% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 2 | 3.9% | +82.8% | +437.1% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 8.7% | -0.1% | +19.4% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2022 | 16 | 22.0% | -2.4% | +22.6% |
| Aug 2022 | Dec 2023 | 68 | 16.2% | +3.9% | +19.4% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 1 | 1.8% | +28.1% | +8.0% |
| Apr 2024 | Jun 2024 | 10 | 15.4% | +9.1% | +4.6% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 3.0% | +28.4% | +7.2% |
| Feb 2026 | Feb 2026 | 3 | 6.6% | N/A | +3.2% |
| Average | 16 | — | +31.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADSK below its 200-week moving average?
No. Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) is currently 1.5% above its 200-week moving average of $244.32. It would need to fall to $244.32 to cross below the line.
What is ADSK's 200-week moving average price?
Autodesk, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $244.32 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ADSK drops below its 200-week moving average?
ADSK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +31.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is ADSK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ADSK as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 31. Free cash flow yield is 5.3%. Return on equity is 39.7%. Price-to-book is 17.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ADSK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in ADSK would have grown to $4558, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 12.2% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. ADSK has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20