Weekly Signal Report — June 20, 2026

📉 51 crossed below 📈 21 recovered

This week, 51 stocks crossed below their 200-week moving average — entering what we call “deep value territory.” This is the signal our screener is built to detect: quality companies trading below a price level that has historically represented a floor over the prior four years.

Not every stock that crosses the line is a buy. Some are cheap for good reason. The 200-week moving average is a starting point for research, not a buy signal. Below, we break down each new crossing with the context you need to decide whether it’s opportunity or a warning.

On the other side, 21 stocks climbed back above the line this week — exiting deep value territory.

What is deep value territory?

The 200-week moving average represents roughly four years of price history. When a stock drops below this level, it means the current price is lower than the average investor paid over the last four years. For quality companies, these moments are rare — most stocks only cross below the 200-week line a handful of times in their history.

Our data shows that while 12-month returns from a crossing can be modest, 24-month returns are often significantly higher. The strategy requires patience. Not every crossing is a buying opportunity — some stocks are cheap because the business is deteriorating. That's why we pair the signal with quality metrics like free cash flow trends, insider buying, and return on equity.

📉 Newly Below the Line

HQI — HireQuest, Inc.

Industrials - Staffing & Employment Services $176M
8.5% below $12.60 → 200WMA $13.77

Historical Context

This is the 11th time HQI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +115.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (62): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HQI analysis →

XPEV — XPeng Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles $12.6B
7% below $13.21 → 200WMA $14.20

Historical Context

This is the 6th time XPEV has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -37.2%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

📉 RSI 20 (Oversold) 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 20): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cycling pattern: XPEV has crossed below the 200-week MA 6 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full XPEV analysis →

KFRC — Kforce Inc.

Industrials - Staffing & Employment Services $809M
6.5% below $45.39 → 200WMA $48.56

Historical Context

This is the 19th time KFRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +30.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 7.2% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (74): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full KFRC analysis →

SAIC — Science Applications International Corp.

Technology - Defense IT $4.3B
6.5% below $102.39 → 200WMA $109.50

Historical Context

This is the 10th time SAIC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +37.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 9.7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (59): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SAIC analysis →

AMT — American Tower Corporation

Real Estate - Infrastructure REITs $82.0B
5% below $176.05 → 200WMA $185.24

Historical Context

This is the 11th time AMT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +40.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 📈 FCF Growing 💰 5.6% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AMT analysis →

MTDR — Matador Resources Company

Energy - Oil & Gas E&P $6.2B
4.5% below $49.56 → 200WMA $51.92

Historical Context

This is the 9th time MTDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +44.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MTDR analysis →

VICI — VICI Properties Inc.

Real Estate - REIT - Diversified $28.3B
4% below $26.28 → 200WMA $27.38

Historical Context

This is the 6th time VICI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +57.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full VICI analysis →

CI — The Cigna Group

Healthcare - Insurance $73.9B
3.9% below $279.27 → 200WMA $290.53

Historical Context

This is the 24th time CI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +12.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 9.4% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (58): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CI analysis →

MDLZ — Mondelez International Inc.

Consumer Staples - Snacks $77.2B
3.7% below $60.12 → 200WMA $62.44

Historical Context

This is the 20th time MDLZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +11.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (64): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MDLZ analysis →

DECK — Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Consumer Discretionary - Footwear $15.2B
3.4% below $109.11 → 200WMA $112.91

Historical Context

This is the 21th time DECK has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +59.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 📈 FCF Growing 💰 5.7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (55): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full DECK analysis →

OXY — Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Energy - Oil & Gas $51.5B
3.3% below $51.82 → 200WMA $53.57

Historical Context

This is the 37th time OXY has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +11.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 5.9% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full OXY analysis →

ROL — Rollins, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical - Personal Services $21.6B
3% below $44.96 → 200WMA $46.34

Historical Context

This is the 19th time ROL has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +22.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 24 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 24): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ROL analysis →

AON — Aon plc

Financial Services - Insurance Brokerage $67.9B
2.9% below $317.74 → 200WMA $327.30

Historical Context

This is the 33th time AON has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +17.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AON analysis →

BIRK — Birkenstock Holding plc

Consumer Discretionary - Footwear $8.5B
2.8% below $46.11 → 200WMA $47.42

Historical Context

This is the 5th time BIRK has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -9.7%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (60): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: BIRK has crossed below the 200-week MA 5 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full BIRK analysis →

OBDC — Blue Owl Capital Corporation

Financial Services - BDC $5.4B
2.6% below $10.87 → 200WMA $11.16

Historical Context

This is the 7th time OBDC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +31.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 📈 FCF Growing 💰 8.7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (53): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full OBDC analysis →

HAE — Haemonetics Corporation

Healthcare - Medical Devices $3.4B
2.5% below $74.17 → 200WMA $76.09

Historical Context

This is the 39th time HAE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +5.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 8.8% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (65): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: HAE has crossed below the 200-week MA 39 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HAE analysis →

IRT — Independence Realty Trust, Inc.

Real Estate - Residential $3.8B
2.4% below $15.82 → 200WMA $16.21

Historical Context

This is the 11th time IRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +28.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (51): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full IRT analysis →

PKX — POSCO Holdings

Basic Materials $18.4B
2.3% below $60.69 → 200WMA $62.11

Historical Context

This is the 31th time PKX has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -2.8%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (53): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: PKX has crossed below the 200-week MA 31 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PKX analysis →

CNC — Centene Corporation

Healthcare - Insurance $30.1B
2% below $61.02 → 200WMA $62.25

Historical Context

This is the 15th time CNC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +14.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 22.7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (83): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CNC analysis →

ATNI — ATN International, Inc.

Communication Services - Telecom Services $396M
1.8% below $25.76 → 200WMA $26.24

Historical Context

This is the 26th time ATNI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +20.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 💰 14.3% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (54): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ATNI analysis →

LOPE — Grand Canyon Education, Inc.

Consumer Defensive - Education & Training Services $3.8B
1.8% below $141.59 → 200WMA $144.13

Historical Context

This is the 15th time LOPE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +15.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 📈 FCF Growing 💰 6% FCF Yield 💥 Capitulation Volume

Things to Watch

  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full LOPE analysis →

A — Agilent Technologies, Inc.

Healthcare - Diagnostics & Research $35.9B
1.6% below $127.06 → 200WMA $129.12

Historical Context

This is the 20th time A has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (64): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: A has crossed below the 200-week MA 20 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full A analysis →

SJM — The J.M. Smucker Company

Consumer Staples - Food $11.8B
1.6% below $110.86 → 200WMA $112.66

Historical Context

This is the 18th time SJM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +13.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

👑 Dividend Aristocrat 📈 FCF Growing 💰 8.5% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (56): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SJM analysis →

ULTA — Ulta Beauty Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Specialty Retail $19.6B
1.6% below $456.13 → 200WMA $463.54

Historical Context

This is the 7th time ULTA has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +31.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ULTA analysis →

ICE — Intercontinental Exchange Inc.

Financial Services - Exchanges $75.7B
1.6% below $133.88 → 200WMA $136.03

Historical Context

This is the 16th time ICE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +18.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 25 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 25): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ICE analysis →

KSS — Kohl's Corporation

Consumer Discretionary - Department Stores $2.0B
1.5% below $17.25 → 200WMA $17.50

Historical Context

This is the 28th time KSS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -13.1%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 💰 41.3% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (67): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: KSS has crossed below the 200-week MA 28 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full KSS analysis →

STNE — StoneCo

Technology $2.6B
1.3% below $10.59 → 200WMA $10.73

Historical Context

This is the 6th time STNE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +62.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 89.8% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full STNE analysis →

SSNC — SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.

Technology - Financial Software $15.8B
1.2% below $65.42 → 200WMA $66.25

Historical Context

This is the 9th time SSNC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +22.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 8.1% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SSNC analysis →

EXE — Expand Energy Corporation

Energy $20.8B
1.2% below $86.98 → 200WMA $88.06

Historical Context

This is the second time EXE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +39.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 💰 8.1% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining 📉 RSI 29 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 29): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full EXE analysis →

CVGW — Calavo Growers, Inc.

Consumer Defensive - Food Distribution $466M
1.1% below $26.09 → 200WMA $26.38

Historical Context

This is the 12th time CVGW has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +46.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CVGW analysis →

IOT — Samsara Inc.

Technology - IoT & Fleet Management $18.5B
1.1% below $31.69 → 200WMA $32.04

Historical Context

This is the 4th time IOT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +173.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full IOT analysis →

GPI — Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical - Auto & Truck Dealerships $3.7B
1.1% below $313.16 → 200WMA $316.52

Historical Context

This is the 19th time GPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +27.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 7.5% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (54): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full GPI analysis →

SFM — Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Consumer Staples - Grocery $7.6B
1% below $80.49 → 200WMA $81.32

Historical Context

This is the 11th time SFM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -2.9%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 5.8% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: SFM has crossed below the 200-week MA 11 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SFM analysis →

CRGY — Crescent Energy Company

Energy - Oil & Gas E&P $3.4B
1% below $10.44 → 200WMA $10.55

Historical Context

This is the 6th time CRGY has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +1.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 18.2% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: CRGY has crossed below the 200-week MA 6 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CRGY analysis →

MAA — Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.

Real Estate - REIT - Residential $15.8B
1% below $132.50 → 200WMA $133.81

Historical Context

This is the 19th time MAA has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +11.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 5.8% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (59): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MAA analysis →

MGEE — MGE Energy, Inc.

Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Electric $2.9B
0.9% below $75.92 → 200WMA $76.63

Historical Context

This is the 30th time MGEE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +19.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📉 Distribution

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (53): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MGEE analysis →

SUI — Sun Communities, Inc.

Real Estate - Manufactured Housing $15.1B
0.9% below $118.46 → 200WMA $119.52

Historical Context

This is the 19th time SUI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +9.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: SUI has crossed below the 200-week MA 19 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SUI analysis →

HSTM — HealthStream, Inc.

Healthcare - Health Information Services $749M
0.7% below $25.64 → 200WMA $25.83

Historical Context

This is the 25th time HSTM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +15.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 📈 FCF Growing 💰 6.7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (70): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HSTM analysis →

MNR — Mach Natural Resources LP

Energy - Oil & Gas E&P $2.1B
0.7% below $12.45 → 200WMA $12.53

Historical Context

This is the 6th time MNR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -9.6%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: MNR has crossed below the 200-week MA 6 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MNR analysis →

AVB — AvalonBay Communities Inc.

Real Estate - Residential REITs $25.2B
0.6% below $177.32 → 200WMA $178.34

Historical Context

This is the 21th time AVB has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +15.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 5.5% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (58): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AVB analysis →

PCG — PG&E Corporation

Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Electric $36.3B
0.5% below $16.48 → 200WMA $16.57

Historical Context

This is the 32th time PCG has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +8.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: PCG has crossed below the 200-week MA 32 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PCG analysis →

SLRC — SLR Investment Corp.

Financial Services - BDC $678M
0.5% below $12.42 → 200WMA $12.48

Historical Context

This is the 12th time SLRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +13.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SLRC analysis →

WTRG — Essential Utilities, Inc.

Utilities - Water & Gas $10.4B
0.5% below $36.70 → 200WMA $36.89

Historical Context

This is the 25th time WTRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +33.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📉 RSI 29 (Oversold)

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 29): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full WTRG analysis →

MSFT — Microsoft Corporation

Technology - Software $2.8T
0.5% below $379.40 → 200WMA $381.25

Historical Context

This is the 20th time MSFT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +9.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: MSFT has crossed below the 200-week MA 20 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MSFT analysis →

ICUI — ICU Medical, Inc.

Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies $3.5B
0.3% below $140.37 → 200WMA $140.84

Historical Context

This is the 27th time ICUI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +6.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 💰 11% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (62): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: ICUI has crossed below the 200-week MA 27 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ICUI analysis →

BALY — Bally's Corporation

Consumer Cyclical - Resorts & Casinos $678M
0.3% below $13.86 → 200WMA $13.90

Historical Context

This is the first time BALY has crossed below its 200-week moving average.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (54): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full BALY analysis →

ISRG — Intuitive Surgical Inc.

Healthcare - Medical Devices $144.1B
0.3% below $406.78 → 200WMA $407.90

Historical Context

This is the 15th time ISRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +46.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ISRG analysis →

DVN — Devon Energy Corporation

Energy - Oil & Gas $48.6B
0.2% below $42.12 → 200WMA $42.20

Historical Context

This is the 28th time DVN has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +8.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: DVN has crossed below the 200-week MA 28 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full DVN analysis →

BIDU — Baidu Inc.

Communication Services - Internet $38.0B
0.1% below $111.76 → 200WMA $111.93

Historical Context

This is the 18th time BIDU has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +37.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 20.9% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full BIDU analysis →

VNDA — Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Healthcare - Biotechnology $349M
0.1% below $5.80 → 200WMA $5.80

Historical Context

This is the 19th time VNDA has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -17.5%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 📉 RSI 16 (Oversold) 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries 📉 Distribution

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 16): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: VNDA has crossed below the 200-week MA 19 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full VNDA analysis →

RIVN — Rivian Automotive Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles $22.2B
0.1% below $16.52 → 200WMA $16.53

Historical Context

This is the second time RIVN has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -47.6%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (59): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full RIVN analysis →

📈 Recovered Above the Line

These stocks climbed back above their 200-week moving average this week. If you bought during their time below the line, this is a milestone — though not necessarily a sell signal.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.