Weekly Signal Report — March 14, 2026

📉 77 crossed below 📈 8 recovered

This week, 77 stocks crossed below their 200-week moving average — entering what we call “deep value territory.” This is the signal our screener is built to detect: quality companies trading below a price level that has historically represented a floor over the prior four years.

Not every stock that crosses the line is a buy. Some are cheap for good reason. The 200-week moving average is a starting point for research, not a buy signal. Below, we break down each new crossing with the context you need to decide whether it’s opportunity or a warning.

On the other side, 8 stocks climbed back above the line this week — exiting deep value territory.

What is deep value territory?

The 200-week moving average represents roughly four years of price history. When a stock drops below this level, it means the current price is lower than the average investor paid over the last four years. For quality companies, these moments are rare — most stocks only cross below the 200-week line a handful of times in their history.

Our data shows that while 12-month returns from a crossing can be modest, 24-month returns are often significantly higher. The strategy requires patience. Not every crossing is a buying opportunity — some stocks are cheap because the business is deteriorating. That's why we pair the signal with quality metrics like free cash flow trends, insider buying, and return on equity.

📉 Newly Below the Line

CRSP — CRISPR Therapeutics AG

Healthcare - Gene Editing $4.7B
10.8% below $48.75 → 200WMA $54.66

Historical Context

This is the 13th time CRSP has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +42.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 💥 Capitulation Volume

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CRSP analysis →

APPF — AppFolio Inc.

Technology - Property Software $6.2B
9.9% below $172.50 → 200WMA $191.38

Historical Context

This is the 5th time APPF has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +54.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 🔍 Insider Buying 📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 23 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 23): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full APPF analysis →

SAIA — Saia, Inc.

Industrials - LTL Trucking $8.6B
9% below $321.00 → 200WMA $352.83

Historical Context

This is the 11th time SAIA has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +49.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📉 Distribution

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SAIA analysis →

RELY — Remitly Global, Inc.

Financial Services - Digital Remittances $3.2B
9% below $15.25 → 200WMA $16.76

Historical Context

This is the 6th time RELY has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +74.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (58): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full RELY analysis →

FICO — Fair Isaac Corporation

Technology - Analytics $26.8B
9% below $1131.22 → 200WMA $1243.15

Historical Context

This is the 21th time FICO has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +14.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 19 (Oversold) 💥 Capitulation Volume

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 19): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full FICO analysis →

ARCB — ArcBest Corporation

Industrials - Trucking $1.9B
8.1% below $84.87 → 200WMA $92.37

Historical Context

This is the 34th time ARCB has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +16.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (59): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ARCB analysis →

CACC — Credit Acceptance Corporation

Financial Services - Auto Lending $4.9B
8.1% below $447.79 → 200WMA $487.26

Historical Context

This is the 23th time CACC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +30.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CACC analysis →

YETI — YETI Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Outdoor Products $2.8B
8.1% below $36.47 → 200WMA $39.67

Historical Context

This is the third time YETI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +61%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality

Things to Watch

  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full YETI analysis →

GRFS — Grifols, S.A.

Healthcare - Drug Manufacturers - General $6.4B
7.9% below $7.81 → 200WMA $8.48

Historical Context

This is the 11th time GRFS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +22%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 16% FCF Yield 💥 Capitulation Volume

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full GRFS analysis →

DG — Dollar General Corporation

Consumer Discretionary - Discount Retail $29.0B
7.6% below $131.84 → 200WMA $142.67

Historical Context

This is the 4th time DG has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +20.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 7.3% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full DG analysis →

PBH — Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc.

Healthcare - Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic $3.0B
7.5% below $61.45 → 200WMA $66.40

Historical Context

This is the 14th time PBH has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +21%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (51): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PBH analysis →

SARO — StandardAero, Inc.

Industrials - Aerospace MRO $8.7B
7.3% below $26.06 → 200WMA $28.11

Historical Context

This is the third time SARO has crossed below its 200-week moving average.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries 📉 Distribution

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SARO analysis →

NSA — National Storage Affiliates Trust

Real Estate - REIT - Industrial $4.6B
7.1% below $30.94 → 200WMA $33.31

Historical Context

This is the 8th time NSA has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +15.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (57): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full NSA analysis →

MGNI — Magnite Inc.

Technology - Digital Advertising $1.7B
6.7% below $11.88 → 200WMA $12.73

Historical Context

This is the 10th time MGNI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +113.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 📈 FCF Growing 💰 7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MGNI analysis →

BR — Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.

Technology - Information Technology Services $20.8B
5.8% below $178.32 → 200WMA $189.24

Historical Context

This is the 9th time BR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +29.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 5.8% FCF Yield 📉 RSI 26 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 26): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full BR analysis →

NVST — Envista Holdings Corporation

Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies $4.0B
5.7% below $24.61 → 200WMA $26.10

Historical Context

This is the 7th time NVST has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 5.8% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (62): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: NVST has crossed below the 200-week MA 7 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full NVST analysis →

G — Genpact Limited

Technology - Information Technology Services $6.6B
5.3% below $38.30 → 200WMA $40.42

Historical Context

This is the 12th time G has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +27.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 11.6% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full G analysis →

MTH — Meritage Homes Corporation

Consumer Discretionary - Homebuilders $4.4B
5.2% below $63.08 → 200WMA $66.56

Historical Context

This is the 23th time MTH has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +51.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MTH analysis →

CWST — Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

Industrials - Waste Management $5.6B
5% below $88.09 → 200WMA $92.74

Historical Context

This is the 21th time CWST has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -16.1%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: CWST has crossed below the 200-week MA 21 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CWST analysis →

NXPI — NXP Semiconductors N.V.

Technology - Semiconductors $48.2B
4.9% below $190.86 → 200WMA $200.76

Historical Context

This is the 10th time NXPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +39.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full NXPI analysis →

UDR — UDR, Inc.

Real Estate - REIT - Residential $13.3B
4.7% below $35.41 → 200WMA $37.17

Historical Context

This is the 28th time UDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +16.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 6.7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (54): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full UDR analysis →

NVR — NVR Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Homebuilders $18.4B
4.3% below $6466.56 → 200WMA $6755.40

Historical Context

This is the 10th time NVR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +28.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 💰 6.3% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full NVR analysis →

LFST — LifeStance Health Group, Inc.

Healthcare - Medical Care Facilities $2.4B
4.1% below $6.33 → 200WMA $6.60

Historical Context

This is the second time LFST has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +11.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full LFST analysis →

IRTC — iRhythm Technologies, Inc.

Healthcare - Medical Devices $3.7B
4% below $113.00 → 200WMA $117.68

Historical Context

This is the 11th time IRTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +34.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📉 RSI 18 (Oversold)

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 18): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full IRTC analysis →

HOV — Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical - Residential Construction $634M
3.9% below $106.75 → 200WMA $111.11

Historical Context

This is the 29th time HOV has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +27.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 📈 FCF Growing 💰 18.6% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (52): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HOV analysis →

IP — International Paper Company

Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers $19.7B
3.8% below $37.25 → 200WMA $38.71

Historical Context

This is the 57th time IP has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +15.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full IP analysis →

SNDR — Schneider National, Inc.

Industrials - Trucking $4.2B
3.7% below $23.71 → 200WMA $24.63

Historical Context

This is the 12th time SNDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +14.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SNDR analysis →

CRBG — Corebridge Financial, Inc.

Financial Services - Insurance & Annuities $11.8B
3.7% below $23.49 → 200WMA $24.39

Historical Context

This is the second time CRBG has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +80.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 📉 RSI 24 (Oversold)

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 24): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CRBG analysis →

OBDC — Blue Owl Capital Corporation

Financial Services - BDC $5.6B
3.6% below $10.95 → 200WMA $11.35

Historical Context

This is the 6th time OBDC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +31.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 📈 FCF Growing 💰 11.1% FCF Yield 📉 RSI 20 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 20): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full OBDC analysis →

CPT — Camden Property Trust

Real Estate - REIT - Residential $10.7B
3.5% below $100.61 → 200WMA $104.22

Historical Context

This is the 22th time CPT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +14.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 7.2% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CPT analysis →

RDDT — Reddit Inc.

Communication Services - Social Media $25.3B
3.3% below $132.36 → 200WMA $136.88

Historical Context

This is the second time RDDT has crossed below its 200-week moving average.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 🔍 Insider Buying 📉 RSI 21 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 21): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full RDDT analysis →

SE — Sea Limited

Consumer Discretionary - E-Commerce $50.9B
3.3% below $86.00 → 200WMA $88.90

Historical Context

This is the 4th time SE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +53.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 📉 RSI 25 (Oversold) 📉 Distribution

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 25): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SE analysis →

GRAB — Grab Holdings Limited

Technology - Super App $15.2B
3.2% below $3.71 → 200WMA $3.83

Historical Context

This is the third time GRAB has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -39%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

💰 6% FCF Yield 📉 RSI 24 (Oversold) 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 24): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full GRAB analysis →

PRU — Prudential Financial Inc.

Financial Services - Insurance $32.0B
3.2% below $92.00 → 200WMA $95.00

Historical Context

This is the 22th time PRU has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +14.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 39.4% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PRU analysis →

GMRE — Global Medical REIT Inc.

Real Estate - REIT - Healthcare Facilities $980M
3.1% below $33.60 → 200WMA $34.66

Historical Context

This is the 6th time GMRE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -25.4%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 🔍 Insider Buying 💰 6.7% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries 💥 Capitulation Volume

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (54): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: GMRE has crossed below the 200-week MA 6 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full GMRE analysis →

WH — Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Hotels $5.5B
2.9% below $73.41 → 200WMA $75.61

Historical Context

This is the 9th time WH has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +22.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 5.8% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (52): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full WH analysis →

MGEE — MGE Energy, Inc.

Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Electric $2.7B
2.7% below $74.77 → 200WMA $76.85

Historical Context

This is the 29th time MGEE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +19.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💥 Capitulation Volume

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MGEE analysis →

OTIS — Otis Worldwide Corporation

Industrials - Elevators $32.4B
2.6% below $83.19 → 200WMA $85.45

Historical Context

This is the 4th time OTIS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +26.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📉 Distribution

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full OTIS analysis →

ALGT — Allegiant Travel Company

Industrials - Airlines $1.4B
2.6% below $75.04 → 200WMA $77.06

Historical Context

This is the 13th time ALGT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +8.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: ALGT has crossed below the 200-week MA 13 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ALGT analysis →

EVCM — EverCommerce Inc.

Technology - Service Commerce Software $1.8B
2.6% below $10.05 → 200WMA $10.32

Historical Context

This is the 7th time EVCM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +9.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (50): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: EVCM has crossed below the 200-week MA 7 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full EVCM analysis →

LNN — Lindsay Corporation

Industrials - Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery $1.3B
2.5% below $125.38 → 200WMA $128.63

Historical Context

This is the 36th time LNN has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +28.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (59): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full LNN analysis →

RPM — RPM International Inc.

Materials - Coatings & Sealants $12.8B
2.3% below $99.76 → 200WMA $102.15

Historical Context

This is the 17th time RPM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +23.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full RPM analysis →

BSX — Boston Scientific Corporation

Healthcare - Medical Devices $102.6B
2.3% below $69.13 → 200WMA $70.75

Historical Context

This is the 16th time BSX has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +24.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 25 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 25): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full BSX analysis →

ZM — Zoom Video Communications, Inc.

Technology - Video Communications $21.9B
2.1% below $74.10 → 200WMA $75.68

Historical Context

This is the third time ZM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -65.8%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 📈 FCF Growing 💰 8.9% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ZM analysis →

HGV — Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.

Consumer Cyclical - Resorts & Casinos $3.5B
2.1% below $40.88 → 200WMA $41.74

Historical Context

This is the 11th time HGV has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: HGV has crossed below the 200-week MA 11 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HGV analysis →

GPI — Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical - Auto & Truck Dealerships $3.8B
2% below $299.90 → 200WMA $306.06

Historical Context

This is the 18th time GPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +27.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 6% FCF Yield 📉 RSI 19 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 19): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full GPI analysis →

DORM — Dorman Products, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical - Auto Parts $3.1B
1.9% below $102.81 → 200WMA $104.85

Historical Context

This is the 29th time DORM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +13.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 25 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 25): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full DORM analysis →

EQR — Equity Residential

Real Estate - Residential REITs $23.5B
1.9% below $59.99 → 200WMA $61.17

Historical Context

This is the 20th time EQR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +5.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 6% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: EQR has crossed below the 200-week MA 20 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full EQR analysis →

AOS — A.O. Smith Corporation

Industrials - Water Heaters $9.2B
1.7% below $66.84 → 200WMA $67.98

Historical Context

This is the 36th time AOS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +22.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 👑 Dividend Aristocrat 📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AOS analysis →

WHD — Cactus, Inc.

Energy - Wellhead Equipment $3.2B
1.6% below $46.36 → 200WMA $47.14

Historical Context

This is the 6th time WHD has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +21.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📉 Distribution

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (51): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full WHD analysis →

PNFP — Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc.

Financial Services - Banking $12.5B
1.6% below $82.89 → 200WMA $84.22

Historical Context

This is the 18th time PNFP has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +4.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: PNFP has crossed below the 200-week MA 18 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PNFP analysis →

PTC — PTC Inc.

Technology - Software - Application $18.6B
1.6% below $155.89 → 200WMA $158.40

Historical Context

This is the 16th time PTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +23.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PTC analysis →

ALKS — Alkermes plc

Healthcare - Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic $4.6B
1.5% below $27.76 → 200WMA $28.18

Historical Context

This is the 33th time ALKS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +11.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ALKS analysis →

SPGI — S&P Global Inc.

Financial Services - Data & Analytics $127.9B
1.4% below $422.49 → 200WMA $428.30

Historical Context

This is the 15th time SPGI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +19.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

👑 Dividend Aristocrat 🔍 Insider Buying 📈 FCF Growing 📉 Distribution

Things to Watch

  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SPGI analysis →

FELE — Franklin Electric Co., Inc.

Industrials - Specialty Industrial Machinery $4.0B
1.1% below $90.91 → 200WMA $91.90

Historical Context

This is the 20th time FELE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +29.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full FELE analysis →

GOOD — Gladstone Commercial Corporation

Real Estate - REIT - Diversified $588M
1.1% below $12.05 → 200WMA $12.18

Historical Context

This is the 22th time GOOD has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +17.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 12.1% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (69): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full GOOD analysis →

PAYS — Paysign, Inc.

Technology - Software - Infrastructure $189M
1% below $3.44 → 200WMA $3.48

Historical Context

This is the 19th time PAYS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +53.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📉 RSI 21 (Oversold)

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 21): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PAYS analysis →

AON — Aon plc

Financial Services - Insurance Brokerage $69.1B
1% below $321.41 → 200WMA $324.53

Historical Context

This is the 32th time AON has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +17.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AON analysis →

ABNB — Airbnb Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Travel Services $75.7B
0.9% below $126.30 → 200WMA $127.40

Historical Context

This is the 12th time ABNB has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -13%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 📈 FCF Growing 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (52): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: ABNB has crossed below the 200-week MA 12 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ABNB analysis →

TPG — TPG Inc.

Financial Services - Private Equity $15.6B
0.9% below $40.50 → 200WMA $40.86

Historical Context

This is the 7th time TPG has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +78.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 8% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining 📉 RSI 21 (Oversold) 📉 Distribution

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 21): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full TPG analysis →

VOYA — Voya Financial, Inc.

Financial Services - Retirement & Investment $6.3B
0.9% below $66.25 → 200WMA $66.83

Historical Context

This is the 12th time VOYA has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +39.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 24% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full VOYA analysis →

ACM — AECOM

Industrials - Engineering & Construction $11.8B
0.8% below $91.06 → 200WMA $91.84

Historical Context

This is the 27th time ACM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +9.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 5.3% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: ACM has crossed below the 200-week MA 27 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ACM analysis →

DIS — The Walt Disney Company

Communication Services - Entertainment $176.1B
0.8% below $99.29 → 200WMA $100.14

Historical Context

This is the 31th time DIS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +30%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full DIS analysis →

HQY — HealthEquity, Inc.

Healthcare - Health Information Services $6.7B
0.7% below $77.81 → 200WMA $78.39

Historical Context

This is the 10th time HQY has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +36.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HQY analysis →

STE — Steris plc

Healthcare - Medical Equipment $21.1B
0.7% below $214.57 → 200WMA $216.10

Historical Context

This is the 23th time STE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +24.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 28 (Oversold) 💥 Capitulation Volume

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 28): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full STE analysis →

KBH — KB Home

Consumer Discretionary - Homebuilders $3.4B
0.7% below $52.95 → 200WMA $53.30

Historical Context

This is the 25th time KBH has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +37.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 5.9% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full KBH analysis →

LPX — Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

Industrials - Building Products & Equipment $5.3B
0.7% below $75.81 → 200WMA $76.31

Historical Context

This is the 28th time LPX has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +27.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full LPX analysis →

POST — Post Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Staples - Packaged Foods $5.1B
0.6% below $98.45 → 200WMA $99.06

Historical Context

This is the 10th time POST has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +32.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (53): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full POST analysis →

MTW — The Manitowoc Company, Inc.

Industrials - Cranes & Lifting $432M
0.6% below $12.19 → 200WMA $12.26

Historical Context

This is the 25th time MTW has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +6.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: MTW has crossed below the 200-week MA 25 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MTW analysis →

STRA — Strategic Education, Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Education Services $1.9B
0.6% below $80.76 → 200WMA $81.22

Historical Context

This is the 13th time STRA has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -0.5%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 📈 FCF Growing 💰 7.7% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (53): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: STRA has crossed below the 200-week MA 13 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full STRA analysis →

RAMP — LiveRamp Holdings, Inc.

Technology - Data Connectivity $1.8B
0.6% below $27.95 → 200WMA $28.10

Historical Context

This is the 40th time RAMP has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +11.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 📈 FCF Growing 💰 8.1% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full RAMP analysis →

BCRX — BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Healthcare - Biotechnology $2.1B
0.4% below $8.22 → 200WMA $8.26

Historical Context

This is the 20th time BCRX has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -12.4%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

💰 12.4% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (56): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: BCRX has crossed below the 200-week MA 20 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full BCRX analysis →

LEA — Lear Corporation

Consumer Cyclical - Auto Parts $6.1B
0.3% below $114.16 → 200WMA $114.48

Historical Context

This is the 20th time LEA has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +0.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 6.6% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (55): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: LEA has crossed below the 200-week MA 20 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full LEA analysis →

TSCO — Tractor Supply Company

Consumer Discretionary - Specialty Retail $24.9B
0.3% below $47.24 → 200WMA $47.37

Historical Context

This is the 18th time TSCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +21.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full TSCO analysis →

MAS — Masco Corporation

Industrials - Building Products & Equipment $12.5B
0.1% below $61.52 → 200WMA $61.59

Historical Context

This is the 39th time MAS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +25.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 5.3% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MAS analysis →

PFSI — PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.

Financial Services - Mortgage Banking $4.4B
0.1% below $84.14 → 200WMA $84.20

Historical Context

This is the 13th time PFSI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +40.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 📉 RSI 29 (Oversold) 📉 Distribution

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 29): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PFSI analysis →

CCSI — Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc.

Technology - Software - Infrastructure $571M
0.1% below $30.05 → 200WMA $30.07

Historical Context

This is the third time CCSI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -47.3%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 13.3% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (75): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CCSI analysis →

📈 Recovered Above the Line

These stocks climbed back above their 200-week moving average this week. If you bought during their time below the line, this is a milestone — though not necessarily a sell signal.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.