Weekly Signal Report — March 07, 2026

📉 67 crossed below 📈 25 recovered

This week, 67 stocks crossed below their 200-week moving average — entering what we call “deep value territory.” This is the signal our screener is built to detect: quality companies trading below a price level that has historically represented a floor over the prior four years.

Not every stock that crosses the line is a buy. Some are cheap for good reason. The 200-week moving average is a starting point for research, not a buy signal. Below, we break down each new crossing with the context you need to decide whether it’s opportunity or a warning.

On the other side, 25 stocks climbed back above the line this week — exiting deep value territory.

What is deep value territory?

The 200-week moving average represents roughly four years of price history. When a stock drops below this level, it means the current price is lower than the average investor paid over the last four years. For quality companies, these moments are rare — most stocks only cross below the 200-week line a handful of times in their history.

Our data shows that while 12-month returns from a crossing can be modest, 24-month returns are often significantly higher. The strategy requires patience. Not every crossing is a buying opportunity — some stocks are cheap because the business is deteriorating. That's why we pair the signal with quality metrics like free cash flow trends, insider buying, and return on equity.

📉 Newly Below the Line

CERS — Cerus Corporation

Healthcare - Medical Devices $371M
18.1% below $1.93 → 200WMA $2.36

Historical Context

This is the 27th time CERS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +12.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💥 Capitulation Volume

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (53): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CERS analysis →

LDI — loanDepot, Inc.

Financial Services - Mortgage Finance $791M
13.8% below $1.77 → 200WMA $2.05

Historical Context

This is the third time LDI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -51.6%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full LDI analysis →

AES — The AES Corporation

Utilities - Renewable Energy $10.1B
13.7% below $14.15 → 200WMA $16.39

Historical Context

This is the 23th time AES has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +16.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 💥 Capitulation Volume

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (50): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AES analysis →

JEF — Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

Financial Services - Capital Markets $7.9B
13.6% below $38.29 → 200WMA $44.30

Historical Context

This is the 19th time JEF has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +10.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 📉 RSI 22 (Oversold) 💥 Capitulation Volume

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 22): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full JEF analysis →

ATNI — ATN International, Inc.

Communication Services - Telecom Services $369M
11.8% below $24.18 → 200WMA $27.41

Historical Context

This is the 23th time ATNI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +20.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 💰 18.7% FCF Yield 💥 Capitulation Volume

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (62): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ATNI analysis →

HZO — MarineMax, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical - Specialty Retail $592M
11.3% below $26.86 → 200WMA $30.30

Historical Context

This is the 35th time HZO has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +28.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 💰 25.1% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (59): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HZO analysis →

ESPR — Esperion Therapeutics, Inc.

Healthcare - Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic $650M
10.3% below $2.72 → 200WMA $3.03

Historical Context

This is the 15th time ESPR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +110.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📉 RSI 29 (Oversold)

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 29): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ESPR analysis →

PPG — PPG Industries Inc.

Materials - Paints & Coatings $23.8B
10.2% below $106.70 → 200WMA $118.82

Historical Context

This is the 38th time PPG has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +10.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

👑 Dividend Aristocrat 📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (56): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PPG analysis →

HRI — Herc Holdings Inc.

Industrials - Rental & Leasing Services $4.0B
9.9% below $120.13 → 200WMA $133.33

Historical Context

This is the 16th time HRI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +19.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 10.1% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HRI analysis →

TWO — Two Harbors Investment Corp.

Financial Services - Mortgage REIT $973M
9.2% below $9.26 → 200WMA $10.20

Historical Context

This is the 5th time TWO has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +4.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: TWO has crossed below the 200-week MA 5 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full TWO analysis →

ALK — Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Industrials - Airlines $4.8B
9% below $42.30 → 200WMA $46.48

Historical Context

This is the 32th time ALK has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +17.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 💥 Capitulation Volume

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ALK analysis →

ICUI — ICU Medical, Inc.

Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies $3.3B
8.4% below $132.00 → 200WMA $144.14

Historical Context

This is the 27th time ICUI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +6.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 💰 12.1% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: ICUI has crossed below the 200-week MA 27 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ICUI analysis →

CBT — Cabot Corporation

Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals $3.7B
8.1% below $70.02 → 200WMA $76.16

Historical Context

This is the 36th time CBT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +26.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 8% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (64): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CBT analysis →

CCS — Century Communities, Inc.

Real Estate - Real Estate - Development $1.8B
8.1% below $61.41 → 200WMA $66.79

Historical Context

This is the 12th time CCS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +64.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 💰 11.1% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CCS analysis →

MDB — MongoDB Inc.

Technology - Database $22.0B
7.3% below $270.47 → 200WMA $291.83

Historical Context

This is the 4th time MDB has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -3.7%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries 💥 Capitulation Volume

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: MDB has crossed below the 200-week MA 4 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MDB analysis →

AMCR — Amcor plc

Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers $20.0B
7.1% below $43.28 → 200WMA $46.60

Historical Context

This is the 11th time AMCR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +10.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

👑 Dividend Aristocrat ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (53): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AMCR analysis →

ARM — Arm Holdings plc

Technology - Semiconductors $121.5B
7% below $114.38 → 200WMA $123.01

Historical Context

This is the third time ARM has crossed below its 200-week moving average.

Quality Signals

🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ARM analysis →

MTD — Mettler-Toledo International Inc.

Healthcare - Life Sciences $24.7B
6.8% below $1209.65 → 200WMA $1298.33

Historical Context

This is the 8th time MTD has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +8.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 23 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 23): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cycling pattern: MTD has crossed below the 200-week MA 8 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MTD analysis →

WING — Wingstop Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Restaurants $6.4B
6.8% below $229.17 → 200WMA $245.87

Historical Context

This is the 6th time WING has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +57.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full WING analysis →

MCHP — Microchip Technology Incorporated

Technology - Semiconductors $35.0B
6.4% below $64.77 → 200WMA $69.23

Historical Context

This is the 29th time MCHP has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +47%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (64): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MCHP analysis →

HDB — HDFC Bank Limited

Financial Services - Banking $151.2B
6.4% below $29.47 → 200WMA $31.49

Historical Context

This is the 16th time HDB has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +38.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 25 (Oversold) 📉 Distribution

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 25): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HDB analysis →

MHK — Mohawk Industries, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical - Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances $6.6B
6.2% below $107.37 → 200WMA $114.40

Historical Context

This is the 27th time MHK has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +20.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 10% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MHK analysis →

BLFS — BioLife Solutions, Inc.

Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies $956M
6% below $19.86 → 200WMA $21.12

Historical Context

This is the 23th time BLFS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +65.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 📉 RSI 29 (Oversold) 💥 Capitulation Volume

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 29): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full BLFS analysis →

AQN — Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.

Utilities - Renewable & Electric $4.7B
6% below $6.08 → 200WMA $6.47

Historical Context

This is the second time AQN has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -41%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AQN analysis →

SITE — SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc.

Industrials - Distribution $5.8B
5.9% below $130.88 → 200WMA $139.15

Historical Context

This is the 9th time SITE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +52.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SITE analysis →

HOFT — Hooker Furnishings Corporation

Consumer Cyclical - Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances $145M
5.7% below $13.42 → 200WMA $14.22

Historical Context

This is the 17th time HOFT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -12%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger 💰 15.6% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (69): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: HOFT has crossed below the 200-week MA 17 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HOFT analysis →

JBSS — John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.

Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods $899M
4.7% below $76.94 → 200WMA $80.74

Historical Context

This is the 14th time JBSS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -16.5%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality ⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (58): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: JBSS has crossed below the 200-week MA 14 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full JBSS analysis →

BDX — Becton, Dickinson and Company

Healthcare - Medical Devices $60.5B
4.5% below $167.12 → 200WMA $175.07

Historical Context

This is the 44th time BDX has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +7.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

👑 Dividend Aristocrat 🔍 Insider Buying 📈 FCF Growing 💰 5.1% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (61): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: BDX has crossed below the 200-week MA 44 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full BDX analysis →

SNY — Sanofi

Healthcare - Pharmaceuticals $107.6B
4.5% below $44.55 → 200WMA $46.66

Historical Context

This is the 19th time SNY has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +11.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 15.5% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SNY analysis →

UFPI — UFP Industries, Inc.

Industrials - Wood & Wood-Alternative Products $5.3B
4.4% below $93.94 → 200WMA $98.22

Historical Context

This is the 17th time UFPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +27.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (51): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full UFPI analysis →

GEHC — GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.

Healthcare - Medical Devices $33.8B
4.3% below $74.27 → 200WMA $77.63

Historical Context

This is the third time GEHC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +20.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full GEHC analysis →

AXTA — Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.

Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals $6.3B
4.2% below $29.61 → 200WMA $30.90

Historical Context

This is the 19th time AXTA has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +3.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 7.5% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: AXTA has crossed below the 200-week MA 19 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AXTA analysis →

SWK — Stanley Black & Decker Inc.

Industrials - Tools $11.8B
4.2% below $76.08 → 200WMA $79.39

Historical Context

This is the 22th time SWK has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +14.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

👑 Dividend Aristocrat 💰 7.2% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (55): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SWK analysis →

DECK — Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Consumer Discretionary - Footwear $15.2B
4% below $104.25 → 200WMA $108.58

Historical Context

This is the 21th time DECK has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +59.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (62): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full DECK analysis →

LSTR — Landstar System, Inc.

Industrials - Integrated Freight & Logistics $5.2B
3.9% below $151.82 → 200WMA $157.97

Historical Context

This is the 21th time LSTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +23.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (62): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full LSTR analysis →

COHU — Cohu, Inc.

Technology - Semiconductor Equipment & Materials $1.3B
3.9% below $27.66 → 200WMA $28.77

Historical Context

This is the 47th time COHU has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +22.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (61): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full COHU analysis →

QCOM — QUALCOMM Incorporated

Technology - Semiconductors $144.9B
3.3% below $135.69 → 200WMA $140.34

Historical Context

This is the 35th time QCOM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +72.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 7.2% FCF Yield 📉 RSI 29 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 29): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full QCOM analysis →

CLOV — Clover Health Investments Corp.

Healthcare - Insurance $1.0B
3.2% below $2.00 → 200WMA $2.07

Historical Context

This is the 6th time CLOV has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -41.7%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • Cycling pattern: CLOV has crossed below the 200-week MA 6 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CLOV analysis →

SJM — The J.M. Smucker Company

Consumer Staples - Food $11.9B
3.2% below $111.21 → 200WMA $114.92

Historical Context

This is the 18th time SJM has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +13.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

👑 Dividend Aristocrat 💰 7.5% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (61): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SJM analysis →

CELH — Celsius Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Defensive - Beverages - Non-Alcoholic $11.1B
3.2% below $42.92 → 200WMA $44.34

Historical Context

This is the 9th time CELH has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +199.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (52): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CELH analysis →

KNSL — Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.

Financial Services - Insurance - Property & Casualty $8.7B
2.8% below $372.02 → 200WMA $382.84

Historical Context

This is the second time KNSL has crossed below its 200-week moving average.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 📈 FCF Growing 💰 11.1% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full KNSL analysis →

PLNT — Planet Fitness, Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Fitness $6.6B
2.6% below $78.66 → 200WMA $80.76

Historical Context

This is the 7th time PLNT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +35.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 10 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 10): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PLNT analysis →

DLTR — Dollar Tree Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - Discount Retail $23.6B
2.5% below $115.79 → 200WMA $118.72

Historical Context

This is the 25th time DLTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +13.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🔍 Insider Buying 📈 FCF Growing 💰 7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (52): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full DLTR analysis →

GEO — The GEO Group, Inc.

Industrials - Security & Protection Services $2.0B
2.3% below $14.35 → 200WMA $14.69

Historical Context

This is the 25th time GEO has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +21.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 💥 Capitulation Volume

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full GEO analysis →

LOB — Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.

Financial Services - Banks - Regional $1.5B
2.2% below $33.55 → 200WMA $34.32

Historical Context

This is the 9th time LOB has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +0.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (54): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: LOB has crossed below the 200-week MA 9 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full LOB analysis →

ROOT — Root Inc.

Financial Services - Insurtech $746M
2.2% below $47.98 → 200WMA $49.05

Historical Context

This is the second time ROOT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -90.9%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

💰 11.1% FCF Yield 📉 RSI 17 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 17): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ROOT analysis →

HYLN — Hyliion Holdings Corp.

Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles $356M
2% below $2.00 → 200WMA $2.04

Historical Context

This is the third time HYLN has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -61.7%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (60): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HYLN analysis →

PAGS — PagSeguro Digital Ltd.

Technology - Software - Infrastructure $2.9B
1.9% below $9.85 → 200WMA $10.04

Historical Context

This is the 6th time PAGS has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +30.2%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 316.7% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PAGS analysis →

VLTO — Veralto Corporation

Industrials - Pollution & Treatment Controls $23.4B
1.9% below $94.33 → 200WMA $96.11

Historical Context

This is the second time VLTO has crossed below its 200-week moving average.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full VLTO analysis →

AVNT — Avient Corporation

Materials - Specialty Polymers $3.4B
1.8% below $36.59 → 200WMA $37.27

Historical Context

This is the 28th time AVNT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +4.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

💰 10% FCF Yield 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (65): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cycling pattern: AVNT has crossed below the 200-week MA 28 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AVNT analysis →

HUBG — Hub Group, Inc.

Industrials - Integrated Freight & Logistics $2.4B
1.7% below $39.04 → 200WMA $39.70

Historical Context

This is the 32th time HUBG has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +14.7%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 Distribution

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (51): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full HUBG analysis →

SHOO — Steven Madden, Ltd.

Consumer Discretionary - Footwear $2.5B
1.6% below $33.88 → 200WMA $34.44

Historical Context

This is the 32th time SHOO has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +46.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 📉 Distribution

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SHOO analysis →

CRMD — CorMedix Inc.

Healthcare - Biotechnology $509M
1.3% below $6.46 → 200WMA $6.54

Historical Context

This is the 18th time CRMD has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -3.9%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining 🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • Cycling pattern: CRMD has crossed below the 200-week MA 18 times with modest average returns. This stock may oscillate around the line rather than bounce decisively — consider whether this is a value trap.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full CRMD analysis →

RACE — Ferrari N.V.

Consumer Discretionary - Luxury Automotive $62.0B
1.1% below $350.08 → 200WMA $353.99

Historical Context

This is the 4th time RACE has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +75.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full RACE analysis →

SOLV — Solventum Corporation

Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies $12.0B
1.1% below $69.41 → 200WMA $70.18

Historical Context

This is the second time SOLV has crossed below its 200-week moving average.

Quality Signals

💰 5.3% FCF Yield ⚠️ FCF Declining 📉 RSI 28 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 28): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full SOLV analysis →

UMH — UMH Properties, Inc.

Real Estate - Manufactured Housing $1.3B
1.1% below $14.83 → 200WMA $14.99

Historical Context

This is the 18th time UMH has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +18.4%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🎯 Yartseva Multibagger

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full UMH analysis →

MNSO — MINISO Group Holding Limited

Consumer Discretionary - Value Retail $5.3B
0.9% below $16.91 → 200WMA $17.06

Historical Context

This is the third time MNSO has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -19.3%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full MNSO analysis →

EXP — Eagle Materials Inc.

Basic Materials - Building Materials $6.3B
0.8% below $196.79 → 200WMA $198.49

Historical Context

This is the 21th time EXP has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +14.8%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full EXP analysis →

BC — Brunswick Corporation

Consumer Cyclical - Recreational Vehicles $4.6B
0.8% below $70.62 → 200WMA $71.20

Historical Context

This is the 31th time BC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +13.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 💰 9.2% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (54): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full BC analysis →

FRPT — Freshpet, Inc.

Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods $4.1B
0.8% below $82.64 → 200WMA $83.29

Historical Context

This is the third time FRPT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of -3.7%. History has not rewarded buying this stock at the 200-week line — extra caution warranted.

Quality Signals

🔄 Frequent Crosser — Weak Recoveries

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (77): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full FRPT analysis →

REGN — Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Healthcare - Biotechnology $80.3B
0.8% below $759.86 → 200WMA $765.70

Historical Context

This is the 29th time REGN has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +19.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full REGN analysis →

PDD — PDD Holdings Inc.

Consumer Discretionary - E-Commerce $144.8B
0.7% below $101.97 → 200WMA $102.72

Historical Context

This is the 10th time PDD has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +96.3%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

🏆 Buffett Quality 📈 FCF Growing 💰 60.4% FCF Yield

Things to Watch

  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PDD analysis →

AVY — Avery Dennison Corporation

Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers $13.8B
0.5% below $179.64 → 200WMA $180.51

Historical Context

This is the 28th time AVY has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +12.9%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

⚠️ FCF Declining

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (59): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • Cash flow is deteriorating: Free cash flow is trending downward. The stock might be cheap for a reason — verify whether this is a temporary or structural issue.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full AVY analysis →

ATEC — Alphatec Holdings, Inc.

Healthcare - Medical Devices $1.9B
0.4% below $12.23 → 200WMA $12.28

Historical Context

This is the 13th time ATEC has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +79.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📉 RSI 20 (Oversold)

No quality flags detected. This stock crossed below the line without any of our positive quality signals — approach with extra caution.

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 20): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ATEC analysis →

PSN — Parsons Corporation

Industrials - Defense & Engineering $7.0B
0.2% below $65.19 → 200WMA $65.35

Historical Context

This is the 10th time PSN has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +14.5%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing 📉 RSI 30 (Oversold) 📉 Distribution

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 30): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full PSN analysis →

ABT — Abbott Laboratories

Healthcare - Medical Devices $190.4B
0.2% below $109.56 → 200WMA $109.77

Historical Context

This is the 26th time ABT has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +21.1%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

👑 Dividend Aristocrat 🔍 Insider Buying 📉 RSI 28 (Oversold)

Things to Watch

  • Oversold (RSI 28): The stock is already deeply oversold on a weekly basis. This could mean a bounce is near, but it could also mean momentum is strongly negative. Don't catch a falling knife without a thesis.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full ABT analysis →

IEX — IDEX Corporation

Industrials - Pumps $14.8B
0.1% below $197.90 → 200WMA $198.04

Historical Context

This is the 29th time IEX has crossed below its 200-week moving average. Previous crossings produced an average 1-year return of +19.6%. History favors the patient buyer here.

Quality Signals

📈 FCF Growing

Things to Watch

  • RSI still elevated (70): The stock just crossed below the line but isn't oversold yet. It may have further to fall before reaching a bottom.
  • No quality floor: This stock doesn't pass our Buffett quality screen or have a long dividend track record. The business quality is less certain, which means the 200-week MA crossing carries less predictive weight.
  • The 200-week moving average is a starting point, not a buy signal. Always research the company's fundamentals, competitive position, and recent news before acting.
View full IEX analysis →

📈 Recovered Above the Line

These stocks climbed back above their 200-week moving average this week. If you bought during their time below the line, this is a milestone — though not necessarily a sell signal.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.